Christendom
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1016 (#209) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 939 (#411) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 961 (#551) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.1 (#398) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.972 (#175) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.810 (#216) | NetEff +9.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.006 (#676) | AdjNet -43.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.004 (#684) | AdjNet -48.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.080 (#671) | AdjO 37.1 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.525 (#343) | AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 55.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.454 (#420) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.467 (#412) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 873 (#440) | RD 195 | GP 4 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Mary Baldwin | L | 47 - 57 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Regent | W | 71 - 47 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Trinity Washington | W | 84 - 25 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Regent | L | 48 - 56 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Heisler | - | 2 | 37.0 | 18.0 | 12.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 20.5 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 39.0 | 22.2 | 100.0 | - | 43.0 | 41.5 |
| Lucy PENNEFATHER | - | 1 | 40.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 38.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 39.6 | 38.1 |
| Mary Pennefather | - | 3 | 39.1 | 15.7 | 9.0 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 6.0 | 15.7 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 36.2 | 35.7 | 75.0 | - | 48.2 | 46.8 |
| Georgie Snyder | - | 3 | 36.6 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 29.6 | 21.4 | 46.2 | - | 38.2 | 35.2 |
| Regina Bonvissuto | - | 3 | 36.4 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 8.3 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 28.0 | 35.7 | 66.7 | - | 41.6 | 38.0 |
| Libby Kolesar | - | 1 | 21.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Catherine Thomas | - | 2 | 30.9 | 3.5 | 13.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 14.5 | 51 | 5.1 | 212.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.5 | 35.4 | 33.3 |
| Serena Keller | - | 1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Lily Vander Woude | - | 2 | 16.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 21.8 | 16.7 |
| Miranda Keller | - | 1 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Myri PARSONS | - | 1 | 20.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Audrey Speier | - | 1 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mary HALISKY | - | 1 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG