Christendom
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 917 (#506) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 806 (#581) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 912 (#660) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -25.6 (#497) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -27.2 (#743) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.013 (#781) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.007 (#781) | AdjNet -42.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.007 (#781) | AdjNet -42.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.072 (#765) | AdjO 49.8 | AdjD 78.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.211 (#731) | AdjO 58.7 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.114 (#737) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.126 (#731) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 791 (#557) | RD 186 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | @ | Roanoke | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Valley Forge | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Mary Baldwin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | McDaniel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Regent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Regent | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | JWU Charlotte | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fowler | - | 4 | 35.1 | 14.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 12.2 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 36.7 | 41.4 | 64.3 | 0.45 | 51.7 | 49.0 |
| Bobby Vander Woude | - | 6 | 35.5 | 12.3 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 4.8 | - | - | - | 26.7 | 21.1 | 69.2 | -4.05 | 36.5 | 31.1 |
| Michael Vander Woude | - | 6 | 32.1 | 11.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 9.5 | 4.8 | - | - | - | 40.4 | 35.1 | 88.9 | -3.88 | 55.0 | 51.8 |
| Daniel Schultz | - | 4 | 21.9 | 9.8 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 45.9 | 0 | 45.5 | 0.11 | 46.6 | 45.9 |
| Edmund Thomas | - | 6 | 23.9 | 4.7 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 5.5 | -47 | -1.7 | -100.4 | 43.3 | 33.3 | 25.0 | -4.0 | 44.1 | 45.0 |
| Luke Ross | - | 6 | 19.2 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 55.6 | -2.56 | 32.9 | 28.6 |
| David Echaniz | - | 3 | 17.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 20.0 | 60.0 | - | 32.9 | 26.9 |
| Joe Curran | - | 5 | 14.7 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 28.6 | 0.0 | - | 32.6 | 35.7 |
| Charlie Evich | - | 4 | 16.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.66 | 31.1 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG