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Chris. Newport

Season:
Also known as: Chris. Newport
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1167 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1245 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1143 (#63) HCA +62 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1013 (#347) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +18.9 (#36) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +19.9 (#117) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +13.2 (#179) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.962 (#187) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +46.7 More → 0.998 (#72) NetEff +46.7
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.4 More → 0.887 (#173) NetEff +14.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.3 More → 0.964 (#156) AdjNet +28.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.0 More → 0.965 (#156) AdjNet +28.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 58.8 More → 0.839 (#154) AdjO 77.0 | AdjD 58.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 56.3 More → 0.810 (#53) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 56.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.570 (#269) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 57.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.870 (#88) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.619 (#284) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.866 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.590 (#305) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 | GP 22 More → 1256 (#43) RD 116 | GP 22
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 312 | GP 1 More → 1056 (#250) RD 312 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.