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Chowan

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Chowan
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1086 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1012 (#164) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1067 (#105) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +4.1 (#183) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.6 (#280) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.652 (#102) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +42.4 More → 0.990 (#89) NetEff +42.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.680 (#157) AdjNet +6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.688 (#156) AdjNet +6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.617 (#155) AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 74.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 76.7 More → 0.577 (#175) AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 76.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.599 (#233) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.599 (#232) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1009 (#215) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Lenoir-Rhyne L 85 - 98
2025-11-15 vs Tusculum W 75 - 68
2025-11-19 vs Virginia St. L 63 - 74
2025-11-22 @ Lees-McRae W 104 - 80
2025-11-25 @ Ferrum W 84 - 71
2025-11-28 vs Lander L 77 - 93
2025-11-29 vs Columbus St. L 68 - 71
2025-12-03 vs Barton W 89 - 82
2025-12-09 @ Catawba L 68 - 71
2025-12-13 vs Emmanuel (GA) W 84 - 73
2025-12-16 vs Francis Marion L 95 - 97
2025-12-18 @ Virginia St. L 72 - 80
2025-12-31 @ West Virginia St. W 66 - 61
2026-01-03 @ Shorter L 84 - 85
2026-01-07 vs Mount Olive W 90 - 77
2026-01-10 vs North Greenville W 70 - 58
2026-01-14 vs UNC Pembroke L 82 - 85
2026-01-17 @ Belmont Abbey W 90 - 69
2026-01-19 vs King (TN) - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Ferrum W 76 - 66
2026-02-04 @ Mount Olive W 79 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Southern Wesleyan L 108 - 117
2026-02-10 @ Francis Marion W 95 - 85
2026-02-14 vs Young Harris L 83 - 86
2026-02-18 @ Barton L 75 - 89
2026-02-21 vs Erskine W 92 - 44
2026-02-23 @ Converse W 81 - 73
2026-02-25 @ UNC Pembroke L 70 - 75
2026-03-06 vs King (TN) W 79 - 76
2026-03-07 @ UNC Pembroke W 93 - 87
2026-03-08 @ Young Harris L 79 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Damerius Summers - 27 24.9 16.6 7.2 1.5 0.9 1.0 2.0 12.4 12.8 - - - - 51.2 39.2 68.9 - 57.5 54.2
Joseph Lezeau II - 5 26.1 14.0 6.4 1.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 8.0 13.6 - - - - 45.0 33.3 67.4 - 59.4 51.2
Eric Gordon Jr. - 27 28.7 11.5 1.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 1.7 9.5 6.3 - - - - 38.1 38.1 88.9 - 54.6 49.6
Markell Hollis - 27 19.7 11.3 3.3 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.9 7.9 9.1 - - - - 54.9 35.7 82.5 - 63.6 59.6
William Hynes - 27 28.9 10.3 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.6 2.0 7.7 9.0 - - - - 40.9 32.0 73.5 - 55.0 48.8
Dominique Bailey - 5 27.1 9.0 2.6 2.2 0.4 0.2 1.0 8.2 5.2 - - - - 36.6 37.5 56.2 - 46.8 43.9
Joe Lazeau II - 21 16.5 8.6 3.6 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.8 5.5 7.8 - - - - 43.1 32.6 83.5 - 59.7 49.1
Israel Powell - 27 24.6 8.5 3.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 1.1 7.4 5.6 - - - - 36.8 32.3 76.9 - 50.1 44.8
Damien Robinson - 14 22.7 6.3 7.1 1.2 0.6 0.8 1.4 4.4 10.1 - - - - 53.2 100.0 53.8 - 55.6 54.0
Dapo Kruyswijk - 27 8.7 2.0 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.9 0.7 - - - - 26.9 21.2 60.0 - 33.4 31.4
Martinie Kamga - 21 8.2 1.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 - - - - 57.1 0 50.0 - 57.1 57.1
Amari Gorham - 22 9.9 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.5 - - - - 50.0 16.7 70.6 - 58.2 51.9
Zach Riddle - 15 5.3 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.5 - - - - 38.1 25.0 0.0 - 39.6 40.5
Cristian Rosado - 2 1.9 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jalen Hines - 19 5.6 0.5 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.5 - - - - 18.8 0.0 50.0 - 24.1 18.8
Cameron Spencer - 4 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Cameron Walker - 2 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG