Chicago State
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 607 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 704 (#285) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 868 (#276) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.6 (#295) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.2 (#295) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.048 (#296) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.053 (#293) | AdjNet -25.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.050 (#293) | AdjNet -25.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.154 (#295) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 87.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.193 (#297) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 84.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.125 (#294) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.131 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 686 (#288) | RD 177 | GP 26 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-01 | @ | DePaul | L | 68 - 103 |
| 1992-12-03 | @ | Eastern Michigan | L | 61 - 86 |
| 1992-12-05 | @ | Illinois | L | 61 - 88 |
| 1992-12-07 | @ | Western Illinois | L | 91 - 106 |
| 1992-12-14 | @ | Ball State | L | 69 - 75 |
| 1992-12-19 | @ | Bradley | L | 61 - 85 |
| 1992-12-23 | @ | Toledo | L | 75 - 82 |
| 1992-12-28 | @ | Green Bay | L | 59 - 81 |
| 1992-12-30 | vs | Western Illinois | W | 76 - 74 |
| 1993-01-02 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 91 - 71 |
| 1993-01-04 | vs | Detroit Mercy | L | 78 - 96 |
| 1993-01-06 | @ | Wright State | L | 91 - 136 |
| 1993-01-09 | vs | Northern Illinois | L | 70 - 76 |
| 1993-01-13 | @ | Marquette | L | 47 - 96 |
| 1993-01-16 | @ | Kansas City | L | 76 - 106 |
| 1993-01-19 | @ | Cincinnati | L | 43 - 103 |
| 1993-01-25 | @ | Evansville | L | 54 - 116 |
| 1993-01-30 | @ | Milwaukee | L | 60 - 78 |
| 1993-02-01 | vs | UNC Greensboro | L | 89 - 95 |
| 1993-02-03 | vs | Northeastern Illinois | L | 74 - 77 |
| 1993-02-08 | @ | Milwaukee | L | 64 - 65 |
| 1993-02-10 | @ | Saint Louis | L | 66 - 116 |
| 1993-02-13 | vs | Kansas City | L | 69 - 83 |
| 1993-02-20 | @ | UNC Greensboro | W | 91 - 88 |
| 1993-02-24 | @ | Northeastern Illinois | L | 73 - 90 |
| 1993-02-27 | vs | Illinois–Chicago | L | 67 - 92 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.