Cheyney
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 871 (#554) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.5 (#512) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.253 (#562) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 84.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.170 (#546) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.177 (#556) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 681 (#507) | RD 177 | GP 9 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Shippensburg | L | 76 - 98 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 63 - 93 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | L | 77 - 85 |
| 2025-12-08 | @ | Staten Island | L | 83 - 123 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Holy Family | L | 72 - 91 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Dist. Columbia | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 73 - 85 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Kutztown | L | 53 - 80 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 67 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Pettus Jr. | - | 8 | 26.4 | 12.8 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 10.2 | 8.1 | - | - | - | - | 36.6 | 27.5 | 63.3 | - | 49.2 | 43.3 |
| Joshua Blackmon | - | 8 | 27.6 | 12.6 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 11.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 41.1 | 38.9 | 65.0 | - | 51.1 | 48.9 |
| D'Angelo Lake | - | 9 | 24.3 | 9.9 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 46.7 | 21.4 | 57.1 | - | 51.0 | 48.7 |
| Clyde Frasier | - | 9 | 26.5 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.6 | 5.2 | - | - | - | - | 39.7 | 14.3 | 58.8 | - | 43.1 | 40.4 |
| Lavion Morales | - | 2 | 16.2 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 35.7 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ali Khan | - | 9 | 22.6 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.0 | 57.1 | - | 39.0 | 35.0 |
| Malcolm Muhammad | - | 8 | 13.5 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 35.9 | 23.1 | 85.7 | - | 44.0 | 39.7 |
| Jalen Long | - | 9 | 12.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | 30.0 | 26.1 | 33.3 | - | 39.8 | 40.0 |
| Samair Peterson | - | 8 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 16.7 | - | 26.6 | 33.3 |
| Jason Young | - | 5 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG