🐻⬇️🏀

Cheyney

Also known as: Cheyney
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 890 (#383) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 756 (#532) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 871 (#554) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -19.4 (#308) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -16.5 (#512) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.031 (#578) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -35.1 More → 0.017 (#726) AdjNet -35.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -35.0 More → 0.016 (#724) AdjNet -35.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 93.3 More → 0.080 (#723) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 93.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 84.8 More → 0.253 (#562) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 84.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.170 (#546) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.177 (#556) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 178 | GP 9 More → 689 (#497) RD 178 | GP 9

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-24 @ Shippensburg L 76 - 98
2025-11-26 @ Bowie St. L 63 - 93
2025-12-07 @ Lincoln (PA) L 77 - 85
2025-12-08 @ Staten Island L 83 - 123
2025-12-30 @ Holy Family L 72 - 91
2026-01-03 @ Dist. Columbia W 80 - 79
2026-01-05 @ Virginia St. L 73 - 85
2026-01-07 @ Kutztown L 53 - 80
2026-01-09 @ Bloomsburg L 67 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bonard Johnson - 1 34.3 28.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 18.0 17.0 -85 -3.5 -28.7 44.4 33.3 76.9 -3.23 59.0 50.0
Jordan Sanders - 1 33.9 19.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 15.0 -63 -2.6 -19.5 33.3 40.0 87.5 -0.48 61.2 50.0
William Hopkins - 1 32.1 17.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 11.0 22 1.0 10.7 66.7 0.0 100.0 1.19 68.3 66.7
Courtney Davis II - 1 30.1 17.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 11.0 -129 -5.9 -52.1 38.5 50.0 100.0 -0.15 54.3 42.3
Julius Olanrewaju - 1 24.8 15.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 -155 -6.5 -41.2 71.4 33.3 100.0 -0.51 85.6 78.6
Arthur Roache - 1 34.0 14.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 12.0 -47 -3.9 -33.4 50.0 50.0 80.0 -1.22 68.6 62.5
Oliver Spence - 1 31.0 14.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 12.0 -87 -7.2 -65.1 50.0 0 50.0 -0.62 50.9 50.0
Tim Uzochuwku - 1 25.2 14.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 12.0 10.0 95 5.0 48.9 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.91 54.3 50.0
Amare Wimbush - 1 14.8 14.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 14.0 34 1.8 19.0 25.0 0 83.3 -0.65 52.7 25.0
Thaddeus Lee - 1 24.0 12.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 9.0 -24 -1.3 -27.7 55.6 40.0 0.0 1.46 60.7 66.7
Joshua Blackmon - 5 25.5 11.4 4.0 0.6 2.0 0.0 1.4 11.2 5.4 - - - 39.3 23.5 56.2 - 45.2 42.9
Nathan Pettus Jr. - 5 25.2 11.0 4.0 1.6 1.2 0.0 1.4 9.6 6.8 -32 -1.8 -18.9 33.3 22.2 65.4 0.64 46.3 39.6
Jacob Cooper - 1 33.2 11.0 4.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 14.0 39 2.2 12.6 50.0 0.0 100.0 -1.11 77.7 50.0
Marcus Jackson - 1 15.1 11.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 11.0 -36 -2.4 -26.7 83.3 100.0 0.0 -0.78 79.9 91.7
Kaaba Murray - 1 15.7 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 -53 -2.5 -51.6 42.9 75.0 100.0 -0.28 69.8 64.3
Xion Nichols - 1 29.9 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 2.0 -89 -4.0 -94.0 27.3 20.0 80.0 -2.02 41.7 31.8
D'Angelo Lake - 5 22.2 10.0 6.8 0.8 0.2 0.8 1.4 8.6 8.6 - - - 44.2 33.3 60.0 - 50.4 47.7
Kevon Corley - 1 19.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 5.0 -62 -4.8 -77.5 12.5 0.0 87.5 -2.47 39.1 12.5
Ries Naugle - 1 29.9 8.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 11.0 -143 -7.2 -45.2 25.0 0.0 100.0 -2.11 41.0 25.0
Ali Khan - 5 22.4 7.0 1.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 1.2 7.4 0.4 - - - 35.1 14.3 53.3 - 40.1 36.5
Lavion Morales - 2 16.2 7.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 - - - 35.7 40.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Draven Pilson - 1 18.3 6.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 -102 -4.2 -44.7 42.9 0.0 0 -1.89 42.9 42.9
Kesean Shillingford - 1 26.9 6.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 13.0 -86 -4.8 -50.3 100.0 0 0 -0.16 100.0 100.0
Malcolm Muhammad - 5 15.1 5.6 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.2 1.0 5.8 1.6 - - - 34.5 22.2 85.7 - 43.6 37.9
Clyde Frasier - 5 21.3 5.6 2.2 2.2 1.0 0.0 0.8 6.2 4.0 - - - 35.5 0.0 66.7 - 40.0 35.5
Chase Smucker - 1 17.9 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -106 -4.8 -36.2 20.0 25.0 100.0 -2.73 42.5 30.0
Amadou Fall - 1 12.9 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 2.0 -75 -3.3 -34.3 40.0 50.0 0 0.38 50.0 50.0
Michael Harrell - 1 19.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 -106 -8.8 -75.9 25.0 0.0 50.0 -1.47 34.7 25.0
Gabe Springer - 1 24.2 4.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 -78 -4.3 -56.6 25.0 0 100.0 -0.23 41.0 25.0
Gian-Paul Anderson - 1 27.6 4.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 7.0 -14 -0.6 -14.4 16.7 0.0 100.0 -0.07 29.1 16.7
Jalen Long - 5 13.1 3.6 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 30.0 21.4 33.3 - 37.6 37.5
Jared Clawson - 1 16.8 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 -26 -1.2 -10.3 20.0 20.0 0 3.99 30.0 30.0
Michael Cooper - 1 18.6 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 34 1.8 23.1 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.34 30.7 25.0
Brandon Hilliard - 1 9.4 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 -63 -3.7 -60.4 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.92 53.2 0.0
Camden Glass - 1 9.7 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 -26 -1.4 -23.5 100.0 0 0 -1.02 100.0 100.0
Naeem Purnell-Northern - 1 9.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -2.0 -8 -0.5 -14.8 20.0 0.0 0 1.82 20.0 20.0
Ronald Bridges Jr - 1 5.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Jordan Lambert - 1 6.8 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 18 1.0 25.0 0 0 50.0 2.05 56.8 0
Winfield Young Jr - 1 18.1 1.0 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
Samair Peterson - 5 6.2 0.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.4 2.4 -97 -3.9 -34.3 0.0 0.0 16.7 3.9 10.8 0.0
Jason Young - 4 3.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 9 4.5 128.6 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
David Pope - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -44 -4.4 -145.9 0.0 0 0 -0.73 0.0 0.0
Christopher Smith - 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -31 -6.2 -58.1 0.0 0 0 -0.27 0.0 0.0
DeShawn Goodwyn - 1 3.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -23 -2.6 -587.2 0.0 0 0 0.13 0.0 0.0
Kodi Johnson - 1 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -87 -4.1 -49.1 0.0 0 0 -1.56 0.0 0.0
Joey Marshall - 1 12.1 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -10 -0.6 -26.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.22 0.0 0.0
Tyleek Fields - 1 10.7 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -52 -2.4 -25.8 0 0 0 0.36 0 0
Ginuwine Tropnas - 1 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -46 -1.9 -17.4 0 0 0.0 -3.04 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG