Cheyney
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 890 (#383) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 756 (#532) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 871 (#554) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.4 (#308) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -16.5 (#512) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.031 (#578) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.017 (#726) | AdjNet -35.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.016 (#724) | AdjNet -35.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.080 (#723) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 93.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.253 (#562) | AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 84.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.170 (#546) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.177 (#556) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 689 (#497) | RD 178 | GP 9 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Shippensburg | L | 76 - 98 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Bowie St. | L | 63 - 93 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | L | 77 - 85 |
| 2025-12-08 | @ | Staten Island | L | 83 - 123 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Holy Family | L | 72 - 91 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Dist. Columbia | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Virginia St. | L | 73 - 85 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Kutztown | L | 53 - 80 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 67 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonard Johnson | - | 1 | 34.3 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 17.0 | -85 | -3.5 | -28.7 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 76.9 | -3.23 | 59.0 | 50.0 |
| Jordan Sanders | - | 1 | 33.9 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | -63 | -2.6 | -19.5 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 87.5 | -0.48 | 61.2 | 50.0 |
| William Hopkins | - | 1 | 32.1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 22 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.19 | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Courtney Davis II | - | 1 | 30.1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 11.0 | -129 | -5.9 | -52.1 | 38.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.15 | 54.3 | 42.3 |
| Julius Olanrewaju | - | 1 | 24.8 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | -155 | -6.5 | -41.2 | 71.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.51 | 85.6 | 78.6 |
| Arthur Roache | - | 1 | 34.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | -47 | -3.9 | -33.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | -1.22 | 68.6 | 62.5 |
| Oliver Spence | - | 1 | 31.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | -87 | -7.2 | -65.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.62 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Tim Uzochuwku | - | 1 | 25.2 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 95 | 5.0 | 48.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.91 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
| Amare Wimbush | - | 1 | 14.8 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 34 | 1.8 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 83.3 | -0.65 | 52.7 | 25.0 |
| Thaddeus Lee | - | 1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | -24 | -1.3 | -27.7 | 55.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 1.46 | 60.7 | 66.7 |
| Joshua Blackmon | - | 5 | 25.5 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 11.2 | 5.4 | - | - | - | 39.3 | 23.5 | 56.2 | - | 45.2 | 42.9 |
| Nathan Pettus Jr. | - | 5 | 25.2 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 9.6 | 6.8 | -32 | -1.8 | -18.9 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 65.4 | 0.64 | 46.3 | 39.6 |
| Jacob Cooper | - | 1 | 33.2 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 39 | 2.2 | 12.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.11 | 77.7 | 50.0 |
| Marcus Jackson | - | 1 | 15.1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | -36 | -2.4 | -26.7 | 83.3 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -0.78 | 79.9 | 91.7 |
| Kaaba Murray | - | 1 | 15.7 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -53 | -2.5 | -51.6 | 42.9 | 75.0 | 100.0 | -0.28 | 69.8 | 64.3 |
| Xion Nichols | - | 1 | 29.9 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | -89 | -4.0 | -94.0 | 27.3 | 20.0 | 80.0 | -2.02 | 41.7 | 31.8 |
| D'Angelo Lake | - | 5 | 22.2 | 10.0 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 8.6 | 8.6 | - | - | - | 44.2 | 33.3 | 60.0 | - | 50.4 | 47.7 |
| Kevon Corley | - | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | -62 | -4.8 | -77.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 87.5 | -2.47 | 39.1 | 12.5 |
| Ries Naugle | - | 1 | 29.9 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | -143 | -7.2 | -45.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.11 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Ali Khan | - | 5 | 22.4 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 7.4 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 35.1 | 14.3 | 53.3 | - | 40.1 | 36.5 |
| Lavion Morales | - | 2 | 16.2 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Draven Pilson | - | 1 | 18.3 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | -102 | -4.2 | -44.7 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.89 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Kesean Shillingford | - | 1 | 26.9 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | -86 | -4.8 | -50.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.16 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Malcolm Muhammad | - | 5 | 15.1 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 34.5 | 22.2 | 85.7 | - | 43.6 | 37.9 |
| Clyde Frasier | - | 5 | 21.3 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 35.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 40.0 | 35.5 |
| Chase Smucker | - | 1 | 17.9 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -106 | -4.8 | -36.2 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -2.73 | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Amadou Fall | - | 1 | 12.9 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | -75 | -3.3 | -34.3 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.38 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Michael Harrell | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -106 | -8.8 | -75.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.47 | 34.7 | 25.0 |
| Gabe Springer | - | 1 | 24.2 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -78 | -4.3 | -56.6 | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.23 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Gian-Paul Anderson | - | 1 | 27.6 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -14 | -0.6 | -14.4 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 29.1 | 16.7 |
| Jalen Long | - | 5 | 13.1 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 21.4 | 33.3 | - | 37.6 | 37.5 |
| Jared Clawson | - | 1 | 16.8 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -26 | -1.2 | -10.3 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 3.99 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Michael Cooper | - | 1 | 18.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 34 | 1.8 | 23.1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.34 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Brandon Hilliard | - | 1 | 9.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -63 | -3.7 | -60.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.92 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Camden Glass | - | 1 | 9.7 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -26 | -1.4 | -23.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.02 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Naeem Purnell-Northern | - | 1 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | -8 | -0.5 | -14.8 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.82 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Ronald Bridges Jr | - | 1 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jordan Lambert | - | 1 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 18 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.05 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Winfield Young Jr | - | 1 | 18.1 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Samair Peterson | - | 5 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.4 | -97 | -3.9 | -34.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.7 | 3.9 | 10.8 | 0.0 |
| Jason Young | - | 4 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 9 | 4.5 | 128.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| David Pope | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -44 | -4.4 | -145.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Christopher Smith | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -31 | -6.2 | -58.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DeShawn Goodwyn | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -23 | -2.6 | -587.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kodi Johnson | - | 1 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -87 | -4.1 | -49.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Joey Marshall | - | 1 | 12.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -10 | -0.6 | -26.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyleek Fields | - | 1 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -52 | -2.4 | -25.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Ginuwine Tropnas | - | 1 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -46 | -1.9 | -17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.04 | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG