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Chestnut Hill

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Chestnut Hill
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 930 (#349) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 934 (#379) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 901 (#528) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -2.1 (#245) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -6.8 (#425) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.298 (#441) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +26.4 More → 0.954 (#161) NetEff +26.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.4 More → 0.276 (#507) AdjNet -8.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.4 More → 0.274 (#511) AdjNet -8.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.360 (#508) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 74.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.368 (#483) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 75.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.352 (#429) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.347 (#432) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 20 More → 887 (#376) RD 103 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Assumption L 64 - 87
2025-11-15 @ Staten Island L 81 - 92
2025-11-17 @ East Stroudsburg L 75 - 96
2025-11-19 @ Shippensburg L 65 - 67
2025-11-22 vs Mercy W 80 - 66
2025-11-25 vs Post W 70 - 66
2025-11-30 @ Adelphi L 63 - 84
2025-12-03 @ Goldey-Beacom L 65 - 68
2025-12-09 vs Holy Family W 68 - 52
2025-12-13 vs Dominican (NY) L 74 - 80
2025-12-18 vs Dist. Columbia W 80 - 67
2026-01-03 @ Felician L 63 - 83
2026-01-06 @ Wilmington (DE) L 64 - 79
2026-01-10 vs Bridgeport W 72 - 66
2026-01-14 vs Georgian Court W 75 - 72
2026-01-17 @ Caldwell L 68 - 80
2026-01-20 vs Jefferson W 95 - 87
2026-01-24 @ Post L 68 - 72
2026-01-28 vs Goldey-Beacom L 70 - 89
2026-02-03 @ Holy Family L 67 - 83
2026-02-07 @ Dominican (NY) L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaiah Sullivan - 1 30.0 23.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 10.0 70 4.7 18.2 47.1 44.4 60.0 1.0 59.9 58.8
IV Pettit - 1 23.6 19.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 11.0 -43 -21.5 -72.9 54.5 40.0 100.0 -0.24 72.0 63.6
Jason Edokpayi - 1 32.0 17.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 10.0 98 5.2 30.7 37.5 0.0 100.0 3.42 46.7 37.5
Amar Lane - 1 28.0 17.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 15.0 6.0 -86 -4.1 -24.1 53.3 33.3 0.0 0.45 55.1 56.7
Anthony Rivera - 1 27.0 16.0 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 22.0 -50 -3.3 -50.0 77.8 100.0 100.0 -1.51 84.7 83.3
Tre Powell - 2 28.5 16.0 2.0 5.0 2.5 0.0 2.0 12.5 11.0 103 6.1 30.8 40.0 18.2 71.4 0.89 51.3 44.0
Alejandro Cybak - 15 33.6 15.1 9.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 3.3 10.7 14.3 -172 -10.1 -35.3 48.4 37.5 76.8 -2.38 59.3 54.0
Justin Allen - 2 24.0 14.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 7.0 12.0 41 3.2 60.2 78.6 66.7 50.0 2.15 79.9 85.7
Amari Dow - 15 32.5 12.7 5.6 2.2 0.4 0.2 1.9 11.5 7.7 -113 -7.1 -26.5 41.9 28.6 69.8 -0.71 48.9 44.8
Jaycen Santucci - 1 32.0 12.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 5.0 -99 -4.7 -27.7 55.6 50.0 100.0 -1.55 63.6 61.1
Cosby Napoleon - 1 18.0 12.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 6.0 11 1.8 21.9 50.0 100.0 100.0 1.8 67.6 62.5
Jeremiah Gorham - 9 29.8 10.8 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.0 2.0 8.7 4.1 -101 -6.7 -33.1 44.9 34.3 78.9 -3.16 56.2 52.6
Jahmare Memphis - 1 19.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 1.0 26 1.2 6.0 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.67 56.3 50.0
Julian Williams - 2 27.0 10.0 2.5 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 8.0 7.5 70 4.4 50.9 56.2 40.0 0 0.18 62.5 62.5
Jalen Robinson - 2 23.0 9.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.0 6.0 95 7.3 310.6 50.0 62.5 66.7 0.21 71.3 70.8
Sean Fullerton - 1 17.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 -44 -1.5 -10.9 57.1 50.0 0 -1.79 64.3 64.3
Alex Bates IV - 1 16.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 6.0 39 1.9 11.5 37.5 50.0 0.0 -0.83 47.4 50.0
Matt McCool - 1 26.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 6.0 44 6.3 11.8 57.1 0 0.0 1.86 53.8 57.1
Kamal Lee - 9 27.9 7.4 1.6 2.8 1.6 0.2 1.9 7.1 4.6 -103 -6.9 -29.8 32.8 32.6 78.6 -1.46 47.7 43.8
Tyler Spencer - 15 20.9 6.6 3.8 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.1 5.6 5.3 -60 -3.8 -20.3 45.2 21.4 81.0 -0.64 53.1 48.8
Landon Shivers - 15 16.6 6.5 3.5 0.8 0.1 0.9 1.3 5.1 5.5 -8 -0.5 -3.2 46.1 31.8 75.0 -1.85 55.5 50.7
Anthony Akande - 2 9.5 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 7.0 111 7.4 108.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 1.29 57.9 33.3
Travis Reed - 3 11.6 5.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.3 3.3 0.7 -12 -4.0 -24.3 40.0 33.3 100.0 -1.95 59.3 45.0
Malcolm Day - 14 15.2 4.9 2.6 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.9 6.0 2.3 13 0.9 9.3 32.1 26.5 41.7 1.98 38.1 37.5
Jaheem Tyson - 1 20.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 -7 -0.4 -2.7 40.0 0 0 2.49 40.0 40.0
Shane Cercone - 1 19.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 15 0.7 6.3 33.3 0 0 0.39 33.3 33.3
Jordan Miller - 1 9.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 -115 -3.4 -26.8 33.3 50.0 0 -0.43 50.0 50.0
Isaiah Thomas-McClain - 1 22.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 11 0.5 2.7 20.0 25.0 0 2.23 30.0 30.0
Cam Burns - 10 12.2 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.7 2.6 1.3 -11 -1.4 -6.0 38.5 27.3 0 1.52 44.2 44.2
Taheen Braswell-Brown - 1 17.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -1.0 -38 -2.2 -40.8 16.7 0.0 0 -0.92 16.7 16.7
Justin Soranno - 1 30.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 6.0 -115 -9.6 -186.9 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.24 14.5 16.7
Marshall Baker - 8 11.1 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.8 -0.6 28 2.0 20.4 14.3 0.0 50.0 1.4 21.0 14.3
Keith Brown - 3 3.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1 0.3 4.6 0 0 0 0.34 0 0
Javelle Epps - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Matthew Gonzalez - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -0.6 -242.7 0 0 0 0.53 0 0
Ty Staples-Santos - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -1.7 0.0 0.0 0 -2.03 0.0 0.0
Anthony Gooden - 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -9 -0.8 -19.7 0.0 0.0 0 1.55 0.0 0.0
Christopher Cervino - 1 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -3.0 10 0.8 17.3 0.0 0.0 0 1.07 0.0 0.0
Marcel Mamwa - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0.8 144.0 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
Vinicius Paixao - 1 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG