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Charlotte

Also known as: Charlotte
Program History

2006 Team Stats (34 games)

72.2
PPG
75.6
Opp
-3.4
Margin
39.7%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
71.0%
FT%
32.2
RPG
15.5
APG
15.2
TO
79.1
Est. poss./game
70.8
Adj PPG
73.8
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 856 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 882 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +82 elo More โ†’ 938 (#11) HCA +82 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -3.0 (#11) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -1.5 (#10) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.371 (#11) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.3 More โ†’ 0.406 (#11) AdjNet -3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.3 More โ†’ 0.405 (#11) AdjNet -3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 73.8 More โ†’ 0.433 (#11) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 73.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 72.6 More โ†’ 0.470 (#10) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.397 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.404 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 34 More โ†’ 884 (#12) RD 135 | GP 34

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-05-20 vs Chicago Sky L 82 - 83
2006-05-23 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 65 - 72
2006-05-25 vs Washington Mystics W 73 - 63
2006-06-01 vs Connecticut Sun L 65 - 89
2006-06-03 @ Connecticut Sun L 71 - 89
2006-06-09 vs Indiana Fever W 70 - 59
2006-06-13 @ Washington Mystics L 70 - 87
2006-06-15 vs Washington Mystics L 77 - 96
2006-06-18 @ Indiana Fever L 85 - 92
2006-06-20 vs Connecticut Sun L 66 - 90
2006-06-22 vs Detroit Shock L 74 - 86
2006-06-23 @ Houston Comets L 70 - 85
2006-06-25 @ Detroit Shock L 61 - 71
2006-06-27 @ New York Liberty W 73 - 67
2006-06-29 @ Chicago Sky L 69 - 75
2006-07-01 vs Sacramento Monarchs L 57 - 65
2006-07-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 71 - 76
2006-07-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 64 - 66
2006-07-09 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 61 - 70
2006-07-14 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 81 - 65
2006-07-15 vs Indiana Fever W 75 - 65
2006-07-19 @ Detroit Shock W 73 - 67
2006-07-20 vs Seattle Storm W 86 - 72
2006-07-22 vs Phoenix Mercury L 74 - 78
2006-07-25 vs Minnesota Lynx L 62 - 70
2006-07-27 @ Minnesota Lynx W 81 - 68
2006-07-29 vs New York Liberty L 80 - 85
2006-07-30 @ Washington Mystics L 73 - 78
2006-08-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 68 - 65
2006-08-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84 - 112
2006-08-05 @ Seattle Storm L 81 - 87
2006-08-08 vs Houston Comets W 68 - 57
2006-08-11 @ New York Liberty L 62 - 64
2006-08-12 vs Chicago Sky W 84 - 57

2006 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Scott Hazelton Scott Hazelton - 35 27.3 12.3 5.2 1.4 1.2 0.8 2.0 12.0 6.9 - - - - 41.3 35.3 74.7 - 47.8 44.9
T. Sutton-Brown T. Sutton-Brown C 32 25.8 11.2 5.8 0.6 0.9 1.8 2.4 8.2 9.7 - - - - 48.9 0 63.9 - 53.8 48.9
S. Sam S. Sam F 34 28.1 10.5 4.9 2.6 1.7 0.1 2.3 10.0 7.4 - - - - 39.9 27.6 63.4 - 46.3 43.0
M. Currie M. Currie F 37 25.0 10.2 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.1 1.8 8.0 8.3 - - - - 34.3 29.5 79.1 - 49.2 37.4
K. Mazzante K. Mazzante NA 35 19.8 8.6 2.8 1.9 1.4 0.2 1.4 8.0 5.6 - - - - 37.6 37.8 85.7 - 51.3 48.7
Y. Leuchanka Y. Leuchanka C 7 21.0 8.1 4.1 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.1 7.4 5.6 - - - - 46.2 100.0 57.1 - 49.0 47.1
L. Bond L. Bond NA 37 17.3 6.1 1.6 2.2 1.0 0.4 2.6 5.1 3.6 - - - - 40.6 19.2 73.6 - 50.2 43.3
Robert Brooks Robert Brooks - 32 19.9 5.1 2.0 2.8 1.2 0.1 2.5 4.8 3.8 - - - - 34.6 35.2 69.1 - 46.0 40.8
J. McCarville J. McCarville C 29 13.2 4.3 3.4 0.8 0.5 0.7 1.0 3.8 4.8 - - - - 45.0 0 65.8 - 48.9 45.0
S. Thomas S. Thomas NA 3 16.3 3.7 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.7 - - - - 20.0 33.3 44.4 - 29.0 23.3
T. Butts T. Butts NA 4 16.2 3.2 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.0 1.8 - - - - 25.0 0.0 71.4 - 34.1 25.0
T. Fluker T. Fluker NA 33 10.5 2.8 2.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 3.0 2.1 - - - - 38.4 0.0 73.9 - 42.6 38.4
A. Walker A. Walker NA 24 7.3 2.3 1.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.9 3.0 - - - - 43.5 0 64.0 - 49.1 43.5
Ronald Curry Ronald Curry - 33 8.2 1.9 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.4 2.8 0.6 - - - - 23.7 25.0 50.0 - 33.2 32.8
A. Kendrick A. Kendrick NA 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2006 Shot Zones

2434 located field-goal attempts in 38 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Sutton-Brown24% Hazelton38% Hazelton37% Hazelton20% Sam18% Mazzante36% Mazzante70% Mazzante27% Hazelton28% Mazzante43%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Sutton-Brown19% Hazelton23% Hazelton29% Mazzante12% Sam20% Curry27% Mazzante46% Mazzante28% Mazzante26% Mazzante24%
Misses: who misses most here

Scott HazeltonS. SamK. MazzanteT. Sutton-BrownRonald Curry

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 461-890 51.8 922 T. Sutton-Brown 24% (220 pts) S. Sam 15% (136 pts) T. Sutton-Brown 19% (82 misses) M. Currie 17% (72 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 104-324 32.1 208 Scott Hazelton 38% (80 pts) T. Sutton-Brown 10% (20 pts) Scott Hazelton 23% (50 misses) S. Sam 15% (33 misses)
Mid-range left 112-319 35.1 224 Scott Hazelton 37% (82 pts) S. Sam 21% (48 pts) Scott Hazelton 29% (59 misses) M. Currie 14% (30 misses)
Mid-range center 15-55 27.3 30 Scott Hazelton 20% (6 pts) Y. Leuchanka 20% (6 pts) K. Mazzante 12% (5 misses) L. Bond 12% (5 misses)
Mid-range right 84-256 32.8 168 S. Sam 18% (30 pts) Scott Hazelton 17% (28 pts) S. Sam 20% (35 misses) Scott Hazelton 16% (28 misses)
Left corner 3 11-44 25.0 33 K. Mazzante 36% (12 pts) Ronald Curry 27% (9 pts) Ronald Curry 27% (9 misses) K. Mazzante 24% (8 misses)
Right corner 3 10-36 27.8 30 K. Mazzante 70% (21 pts) M. Currie 10% (3 pts) K. Mazzante 46% (12 misses) L. Bond 23% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left 59-197 29.9 177 K. Mazzante 27% (48 pts) Scott Hazelton 25% (45 pts) K. Mazzante 28% (38 misses) Scott Hazelton 14% (20 misses)
Above-break 3 center 32-94 34.0 96 Scott Hazelton 28% (27 pts) S. Sam 25% (24 pts) K. Mazzante 26% (16 misses) Scott Hazelton 23% (14 misses)
Above-break 3 right 76-219 34.7 228 K. Mazzante 43% (99 pts) Robert Brooks 16% (36 pts) K. Mazzante 24% (34 misses) S. Sam 19% (27 misses)