🐻⬇️🏀

Charlotte

Season: 2026 2025 2021 2017
Also known as: Charlotte
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1068 (#140) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 998 (#293) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +1.3 (#305) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.876 (#135) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.5 More → 0.791 (#242) AdjNet +11.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.6 More → 0.796 (#238) AdjNet +11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 73.6 More → 0.688 (#244) AdjO 82.3 | AdjD 73.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 74.9 More → 0.518 (#266) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 74.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.558 (#276) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.553 (#273) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1140 (#84) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-23 vs Shaw W 83 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anton Bonke - 1 23.5 17.0 13.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 11.0 17.0 - - - 63.6 0 50.0 - 62.3 63.6
Ben Bradford - 1 30.2 13.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 15.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 83.3 - 67.4 57.1
Dezayne Mingo - 1 33.0 13.0 4.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 12.0 - - - 45.5 16.7 100.0 - 54.7 50.0
Kylan Blackmon - 1 25.6 11.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 9.0 - - - 66.7 60.0 0 - 91.7 91.7
Damoni Harrison - 1 33.3 10.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 6.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 100.0 - 50.6 44.4
Arden Conyers - 1 8.9 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 100.0 - 58.1 50.0
Ethan Butler - 1 19.2 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 0 75.0 - 90.6 100.0
Spencer Elliott - 1 20.6 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 45.0 50.0
Kuluel Mading - 1 5.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG