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Charleston

Also known as: Charleston Cougars
Program History

2015 Team Stats (2 games)

53.5
PPG
56.0
Opp
-2.5
Margin
36.7%
FG%
39.4%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
31.0
RPG
9.5
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
56.4
Adj PPG
62.4
Adj Opp PPG
#270
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 791 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 822 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 889 (#314) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -6.2 (#269) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -8.1 (#301) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.247 (#291) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.3 More โ†’ 0.233 (#277) AdjNet -10.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.4 More โ†’ 0.231 (#277) AdjNet -10.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 62.4 More โ†’ 0.368 (#270) AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 62.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 62.7 More โ†’ 0.362 (#305) AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 62.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.280 (#298) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.279 (#304) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 33 More โ†’ 810 (#303) RD 147 | GP 33

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 @ Furman Paladins W 75 - 40
2014-11-17 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 67 - 80
2014-11-20 @ UConn Huskies L 57 - 65
2014-11-21 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 50 - 59
2014-11-23 @ George Mason Patriots W 61 - 60
2014-11-29 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 57 - 86
2014-12-02 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 59 - 55
2014-12-11 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 50 - 47
2014-12-14 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 58 - 47
2014-12-16 @ Charlotte 49ers L 85 - 90
2014-12-20 vs Davidson Wildcats L 68 - 80
2014-12-22 @ LSU Tigers L 47 - 71
2014-12-30 @ Miami Hurricanes L 40 - 67
2015-01-03 @ William & Mary Tribe L 45 - 75
2015-01-05 vs James Madison Dukes L 50 - 61
2015-01-08 vs Hofstra Pride L 66 - 71
2015-01-10 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 58 - 64
2015-01-14 @ Elon Phoenix W 66 - 50
2015-01-17 @ Northeastern Huskies L 67 - 69
2015-01-21 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 56 - 58
2015-01-24 @ Drexel Dragons L 51 - 53
2015-01-29 @ Towson Tigers L 70 - 74
2015-01-31 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 68 - 71
2015-02-05 vs William & Mary Tribe W 80 - 72
2015-02-07 vs Drexel Dragons L 45 - 59
2015-02-11 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 45 - 58
2015-02-15 vs Towson Tigers L 50 - 53
2015-02-18 vs Elon Phoenix W 77 - 63
2015-02-21 @ James Madison Dukes - Postponed
2015-02-22 @ James Madison Dukes L 61 - 68
2015-02-25 @ Hofstra Pride L 40 - 73
2015-02-28 vs Northeastern Huskies L 56 - 65
2015-03-06 @ Drexel Dragons W 56 - 48
2015-03-07 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 53 - 79

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Barry C. Barry G 31 34.7 13.0 5.0 1.5 1.1 0.5 2.1 1.1 17.9 -166 29 -5.7 -7.1 36.4 33.3 57.1 -2.52 557.1 43.9
J. Chealey J. Chealey G 31 32.6 12.8 3.6 3.4 0.9 0.2 2.4 0.5 18.0 -65 29 -2.2 -3.1 40.0 25.0 70.0 4.46 1025.8 43.3
A. Stitt A. Stitt G 24 31.7 8.0 2.6 2.6 1.0 0.1 2.3 1.3 10.7 -187 23 -8.1 -11.5 32.3 30.8 62.5 -4.01 279.5 38.7
A. Baru A. Baru F 30 26.8 7.7 6.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 1.4 0.6 14.0 -121 28 -4.3 -6.9 47.4 0 69.2 -0.83 465.2 47.4
C. Johnson C. Johnson G 31 27.3 6.6 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.2 0.6 9.1 -116 29 -4.0 -6.7 40.0 55.6 75.0 -2.27 468.8 52.5
D. Gilmore D. Gilmore F 30 15.9 5.1 4.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.5 8.4 -49 28 -1.8 -4.8 46.7 0.0 66.7 0.06 433.7 46.7
E. Bailey E. Bailey F 29 17.1 4.6 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 6.8 -47 27 -1.7 -4.4 50.0 44.4 0 -1.02 660.0 70.0
T. O'Donohue T. O'Donohue F 28 13.2 2.9 2.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.0 5.4 -54 25 -2.2 -7.6 0 0 0 -1.23 0 0
H. Bowne H. Bowne F 2 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Wishon D. Wishon C 1 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -18 8 -2.2 -14.4 0.0 0 33.3 -1.38 21.6 0.0
G. Pierre Jr. G. Pierre Jr. C 30 8.2 1.0 1.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 3.1 -20 27 -0.7 -3.8 25.0 0 0 -0.88 375.0 25.0
P. Branin P. Branin G 20 4.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1 -2 18 -0.1 -1.1 0 0 0 -1.08 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG