Chadron St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 702 (#530) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 648 (#534) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 726 (#694) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.5 (#338) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.9 (#558) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.046 (#567) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#13) | NetEff +75.1 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#41) | NetEff +50.8 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.007 (#457) | NetEff -35.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.159 (#550) | AdjNet -14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.158 (#551) | AdjNet -14.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.307 (#546) | AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.183 (#669) | AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 70.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.098 (#653) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.103 (#658) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 566 (#517) | RD 116 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Okla. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Okla. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Wyoming | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Northern Colo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | UCCS | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Fort Hays St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Adams St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | N.M. Highlands | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Colorado Mesa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Quintana | - | 18 | 26.4 | 9.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 9.6 | 3.0 | -270 | -14.2 | -54.1 | 34.1 | 31.1 | 93.5 | -1.54 | 46.9 | 42.2 |
| McKenzi Petersen | - | 18 | 21.0 | 9.4 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 8.0 | 4.6 | -214 | -11.3 | -54.8 | 51.4 | 0.0 | 64.7 | -2.94 | 53.5 | 51.4 |
| Ella Moser | - | 18 | 23.5 | 8.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 8.1 | 2.0 | -166 | -8.7 | -40.0 | 37.0 | 36.0 | 75.0 | 0.67 | 51.9 | 50.7 |
| Kenna Wagner | - | 18 | 24.9 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 7.9 | 2.2 | -197 | -10.4 | -43.1 | 32.9 | 27.0 | 55.6 | -0.94 | 39.0 | 36.4 |
| Dreanna Jackson | - | 15 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 6.3 | -0.6 | -210 | -13.1 | -59.6 | 28.4 | 19.7 | 88.9 | -5.03 | 37.9 | 35.3 |
| Amya Winfrey | - | 18 | 14.9 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 5.2 | -141 | -7.0 | -63.8 | 45.5 | 0 | 56.5 | -2.81 | 48.4 | 45.5 |
| Bianca Bindzus | - | 13 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.5 | -75 | -5.8 | -33.7 | 37.5 | 39.3 | 83.3 | -3.49 | 60.4 | 54.7 |
| Keziah Toran | - | 13 | 17.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 1.8 | -106 | -7.6 | -94.1 | 26.5 | 14.3 | 54.5 | -2.16 | 29.5 | 27.2 |
| Camren Morris | - | 3 | 15.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | -11 | -2.8 | -9.3 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.39 | 36.8 | 30.0 |
| Evelyn Old Coyote | - | 18 | 15.4 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.4 | -189 | -9.9 | -74.2 | 26.5 | 15.4 | 43.8 | -1.98 | 32.9 | 29.4 |
| Jordyn Stokes | - | 13 | 12.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | -0.5 | -91 | -6.5 | -50.8 | 23.8 | 22.2 | 75.0 | -3.71 | 37.3 | 33.3 |
| Alex Ridenour | - | 14 | 13.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -64 | -4.3 | -40.9 | 30.0 | 30.8 | 0 | -0.01 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Teryn Stokes | - | 9 | 8.0 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 3.2 | -35 | -3.5 | -24.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 60.0 | -2.36 | 67.3 | 66.7 |
| Asia Gibson | - | 7 | 11.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | -1.3 | -70 | -8.8 | -98.4 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5.59 | 11.2 | 11.8 |
| Sophia Nguyen | - | 5 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.2 | -13 | -2.2 | -36.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.71 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Alexis Trousdale | - | 13 | 8.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | -0.1 | -62 | -4.8 | -48.8 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.55 | 20.5 | 12.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG