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Chadron St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Chadron St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 641 (#290) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 617 (#291) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 726 (#694) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -17.6 (#279) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -14.9 (#558) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.046 (#286) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +75.1 More → 1.000 (#13) NetEff +75.1
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +50.8 More → 1.000 (#41) NetEff +50.8
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -35.8 More → 0.007 (#457) NetEff -35.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.4 More → 0.159 (#263) AdjNet -14.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.1 More → 0.158 (#264) AdjNet -14.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.307 (#266) AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.183 (#669) AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.098 (#653) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.103 (#658) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 | GP 20 More → 566 (#517) RD 116 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ Okla. Christian L 48 - 73
2025-11-16 @ Okla. Christian L 57 - 74
2025-11-22 @ Wayne St. (NE) L 53 - 95
2025-11-25 @ Wyoming - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 @ Northern Colo. L 47 - 114
2025-12-04 @ Black Hills St. L 34 - 83
2025-12-06 vs South Dakota Mines L 51 - 75
2025-12-11 vs CSU Pueblo L 54 - 66
2025-12-13 vs UCCS L 54 - 66
2025-12-16 @ Neb.-Kearney L 46 - 90
2025-12-19 @ Fort Hays St. L 49 - 92
2026-01-10 @ Regis (CO) W 68 - 53
2026-01-15 vs Adams St. L 64 - 74
2026-01-17 vs N.M. Highlands L 54 - 74
2026-01-22 @ Westminster (UT) - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Colorado Mesa - Incomplete score
2026-01-27 vs Black Hills St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ South Dakota Mines - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Colo. Christian L 43 - 84
2026-02-07 @ CSU Pueblo L 56 - 76
2026-02-12 vs MSU Denver L 52 - 71
2026-02-14 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines L 51 - 79
2026-02-19 @ Fort Lewis L 46 - 67
2026-02-21 @ Adams St. L 52 - 78
2026-02-26 vs Western Colo. L 24 - 77
2026-02-28 vs Westminster (UT) L 68 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
McKenzi Petersen - 24 21.7 10.5 4.9 0.4 0.5 0.1 2.3 8.5 5.6 - - - - 54.4 0.0 63.0 - 56.0 54.4
Audrey Quintana - 23 26.8 9.7 2.5 1.9 1.1 0.2 2.7 9.9 2.7 - - - - 34.4 27.5 91.7 - 45.7 41.6
Ella Moser - 24 23.1 8.7 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.0 1.9 8.5 1.5 - - - - 34.5 32.4 74.1 - 48.4 46.3
Kenna Wagner - 24 24.9 6.7 2.8 3.0 1.3 0.0 3.9 7.9 2.0 - - - - 32.1 23.5 57.4 - 38.2 35.3
Dreanna Jackson - 21 17.6 4.9 1.6 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.9 6.6 -0.5 - - - - 26.1 19.1 80.0 - 35.3 32.6
Amya Winfrey - 23 15.0 3.3 4.4 0.6 0.4 0.7 1.3 3.0 5.2 - - - - 42.6 0 57.6 - 46.7 42.6
Bianca Bindzus - 17 11.7 3.2 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.8 2.5 2.2 - - - - 34.9 37.8 83.3 - 55.9 51.2
Camren Morris - 3 15.2 2.7 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.3 3.3 0.7 - - - - 30.0 0.0 100.0 -1.04 36.8 30.0
Keziah Toran - 19 16.3 2.6 2.6 0.6 1.1 0.2 1.2 4.3 1.6 - - - - 25.6 11.1 54.5 - 28.2 26.2
Evelyn Old Coyote - 23 14.9 1.3 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.7 1.7 2.3 - - - - 25.0 20.0 43.8 - 31.9 28.7
Jordyn Stokes - 18 13.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.7 -0.2 - - - - 20.0 17.4 66.7 - 30.6 26.7
Alex Ridenour - 20 13.8 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.2 1.6 0.8 - - - - 24.2 23.8 50.0 - 32.5 31.8
Sophia Nguyen - 9 4.7 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.7 -0.7 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Teryn Stokes - 14 8.4 0.7 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.6 2.4 -77 14 -5.5 -24.8 22.2 0 66.7 -4.72 38.6 22.2
Asia Gibson - 7 11.6 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.0 2.4 -1.3 - - - - 11.8 0.0 0.0 - 11.2 11.8
Alexis Trousdale - 17 7.9 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.5 -0.2 - - - - 11.1 0.0 50.0 - 18.6 11.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG