Chadron St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 833 (#250) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 827 (#266) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 860 (#564) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.2 (#252) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.9 (#384) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.335 (#236) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.516 (#228) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.523 (#224) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.512 (#229) | AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 77.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.398 (#459) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 77.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.300 (#468) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.310 (#468) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 793 (#461) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | West Tex. A&M | L | 76 - 98 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | West Tex. A&M | L | 83 - 118 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Mary | W | 83 - 82 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 57 - 84 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Minnesota St. | L | 52 - 81 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Northern St. | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Colo. Christian | L | 57 - 61 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 67 - 90 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | South Dakota Mines | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | CSU Pueblo | L | 74 - 89 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | UCCS | L | 74 - 100 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Regis (CO) | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Adams St. | L | 90 - 92 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | N.M. Highlands | L | 84 - 88 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Westminster (UT) | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Colorado Mesa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | South Dakota Mines | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Colo. Christian | L | 80 - 86 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | CSU Pueblo | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | MSU Denver | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Fort Lewis | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Adams St. | L | 83 - 93 |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Western Colo. | L | 76 - 80 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Westminster (UT) | W | 107 - 95 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Randolph | - | 14 | 25.7 | 13.4 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 8.0 | 11.4 | 22 | 6 | 3.7 | 5.8 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 89.2 | 1.79 | 66.9 | 58.0 |
| Jadon Cool | - | 22 | 29.3 | 13.3 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 10.8 | 6.0 | 2 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 39.7 | 31.9 | 76.1 | -0.07 | 53.1 | 47.7 |
| Mackenzie Keighran | - | 21 | 26.1 | 11.7 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 15 | 6 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 41.9 | 37.5 | 83.1 | 1.12 | 58.0 | 49.7 |
| Blessing Adesipe | - | 22 | 23.7 | 8.0 | 5.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 8.4 | 8 | 6 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 41.6 | 39.4 | 69.2 | -0.87 | 55.0 | 51.1 |
| Zach Smith | - | 19 | 25.6 | 7.1 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 5.5 | -19 | 6 | -3.2 | -5.4 | 42.1 | 36.0 | 67.5 | -2.24 | 54.2 | 50.5 |
| Luka Djurovic | - | 12 | 24.3 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 6.8 | -22 | 6 | -3.7 | -9.7 | 36.6 | 23.1 | 75.0 | -2.91 | 43.0 | 38.4 |
| Konnor Kralik | - | 2 | 22.1 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 41.7 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 45.8 | 45.8 |
| Jovan Jovanovic | - | 14 | 14.8 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | 36.8 | 29.8 | 66.7 | - | 49.0 | 48.0 |
| Ethan Russell | - | 21 | 17.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 2.2 | -2 | 5 | -0.4 | -1.3 | 37.1 | 27.1 | 50.0 | -0.96 | 46.7 | 46.1 |
| Jackson Schauer | - | 21 | 10.1 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 20 | 6 | 3.3 | 17.3 | 34.8 | 30.6 | 80.0 | 0.95 | 48.4 | 45.7 |
| Alexi Anderson | - | 10 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.47 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG