🐻⬇️🏀

Chadron St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Chadron St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 847 (#403) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 803 (#518) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 860 (#564) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -6.7 (#269) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -3.9 (#384) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.335 (#422) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.516 (#413) AdjNet +0.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.523 (#409) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 77.9 More → 0.512 (#412) AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 77.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 77.9 More → 0.398 (#459) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 77.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.301 (#468) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.310 (#468) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 22 More → 788 (#456) RD 105 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ West Tex. A&M L 76 - 98
2025-11-15 @ West Tex. A&M L 83 - 118
2025-11-19 vs Mary W 83 - 82
2025-11-21 @ Sioux Falls L 57 - 84
2025-11-22 vs Minnesota St. L 52 - 81
2025-11-29 vs Northern St. W 74 - 73
2025-11-30 vs Colo. Christian L 57 - 61
2025-12-04 @ Black Hills St. L 67 - 90
2025-12-06 vs South Dakota Mines L 78 - 82
2025-12-11 vs CSU Pueblo L 74 - 89
2025-12-13 vs UCCS L 74 - 100
2025-12-16 @ Neb.-Kearney L 79 - 84
2026-01-08 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 60 - 74
2026-01-10 @ Regis (CO) W 68 - 66
2026-01-15 vs Adams St. L 90 - 92
2026-01-17 vs N.M. Highlands L 84 - 88
2026-01-22 @ Westminster (UT) W 73 - 67
2026-01-24 @ Colorado Mesa L 68 - 86
2026-01-27 vs Black Hills St. L 59 - 77
2026-01-29 @ South Dakota Mines W 88 - 79
2026-02-05 @ Colo. Christian L 80 - 86
2026-02-07 @ CSU Pueblo L 65 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pierce Bazil - 2 35.0 28.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 0.0 2.5 14.5 19.5 -69 -3.1 -13.9 62.1 62.5 71.4 -2.96 79.6 79.3
Luke Soden - 1 37.3 26.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 14.0 20.0 -287 -19.1 -55.1 57.1 50.0 55.6 -3.81 72.4 75.0
Emilek Jallow - 1 27.5 26.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 15.0 22.0 143 7.9 36.9 66.7 40.0 66.7 1.52 73.7 73.3
James Glenn - 1 35.0 26.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 21.0 40 2.0 11.7 64.3 50.0 100.0 0.12 84.9 82.1
Jason Lee - 2 37.2 23.0 4.5 2.5 3.5 0.0 5.5 19.0 9.0 -52 -2.4 -9.7 44.7 50.0 53.3 -2.38 51.6 50.0
Marshawn Smith - 1 37.6 21.0 12.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 13.0 -34 -1.4 -7.0 47.6 20.0 0 -4.24 50.0 50.0
Fontaine Williams - 1 24.0 19.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 10.0 92 4.2 32.9 50.0 57.1 75.0 0.95 69.0 66.7
Wyatt Helming - 1 29.7 17.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 13.0 20.0 112 5.1 21.5 46.2 50.0 75.0 1.72 57.6 53.8
Jailyn Sledge - 1 24.4 16.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 17.0 76 3.5 27.5 60.0 25.0 100.0 2.37 70.7 65.0
Zach Brown - 1 21.5 15.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 14.0 6 0.3 2.6 57.1 50.0 100.0 -3.78 85.6 78.6
Isaiah Randolph - 10 25.7 14.9 4.7 1.7 1.7 0.2 2.3 8.7 12.2 -66 -4.7 -22.4 52.9 25.0 91.4 -0.03 66.2 55.2
Dillan Baker - 1 35.9 13.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 14.0 156 7.1 28.9 40.0 37.5 100.0 2.24 59.7 55.0
Gray Thompson - 2 29.5 13.0 4.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 8.5 11.5 -25 -1.1 -5.8 52.9 41.7 75.0 1.17 69.3 67.6
Tshawn Bois - 1 16.3 13.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 5.0 -160 -7.0 -94.6 45.5 42.9 0 -3.83 59.1 59.1
Kelton Coleman - 1 23.8 13.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 17.0 -162 -6.8 -40.7 30.0 0.0 77.8 -1.21 46.6 30.0
Relja Nagulic - 1 19.9 13.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 -84 -5.2 -43.9 50.0 33.3 100.0 -2.38 59.7 55.0
Kemper Jones - 1 16.9 13.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 -7 -0.3 -3.7 62.5 50.0 0 0.74 81.2 81.2
James Parlow Jr - 1 23.1 13.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 100.0 - 62.3 60.0
Jadon Cool - 13 29.8 12.7 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 2.3 10.2 4.4 -85 -3.9 -17.3 36.4 32.4 78.9 -1.52 52.5 45.5
Ryan Sweeney - 2 38.4 12.5 6.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 11.0 -41 -1.9 -8.7 50.0 37.5 100.0 -2.3 59.9 57.5
Jayce King - 1 17.3 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 6.0 24 1.1 8.7 66.7 80.0 0 -1.71 100.0 100.0
Gunner Walters - 1 39.6 11.0 2.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 17.0 -415 -21.8 -75.9 75.0 75.0 100.0 -3.73 112.7 112.5
Jarmell Johnson - 1 26.6 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 1.0 30 1.4 8.2 25.0 0.0 70.0 -0.62 44.4 25.0
Porter Bazil - 2 35.5 11.0 9.5 5.0 0.0 3.5 3.0 9.5 16.5 -47 -2.1 -9.9 47.4 42.9 100.0 -1.57 56.6 55.3
Tamarrein Henderson - 1 23.7 11.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 -132 -5.5 -31.9 57.1 60.0 0 -2.01 78.6 78.6
Jackson Ware - 1 24.2 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 -94 -3.9 -26.4 66.7 66.7 50.0 -2.32 79.9 83.3
Konnor Kralik - 1 26.9 11.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 6.0 -16 -8.0 -165.5 62.5 100.0 0 -1.1 68.8 68.8
Mackenzie Keighran - 12 26.0 10.8 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.1 2.1 8.2 5.2 -87 -6.7 -18.9 40.8 34.2 80.4 -0.59 55.0 47.4
Logan Peoples - 1 19.4 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 -54 -7.7 -73.1 80.0 66.7 0 -1.61 100.0 100.0
Andre Austin - 1 15.3 10.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 -104 -6.1 -201.5 60.0 100.0 50.0 -1.93 74.0 80.0
Joshua Book - 1 40.0 10.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 8.0 27 1.1 4.0 23.1 20.0 100.0 1.04 34.9 26.9
Gavin Soukup - 1 30.4 10.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 4.0 8 0.5 6.3 37.5 28.6 100.0 2.07 56.3 50.0
Brendan Ballard - 1 20.2 10.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 11.0 38 1.7 31.2 55.6 0 0.0 0.96 48.4 55.6
Zachary Reed - 2 20.9 9.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.5 6.0 -55 -2.6 -15.7 33.3 25.0 100.0 1.83 68.6 44.4
Darren Wallace - 2 23.5 9.0 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 4.5 -31 -1.6 -13.1 44.4 10.0 50.0 -0.52 47.7 47.2
Abel Hutchinson - 1 24.4 9.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 14.0 41 2.6 45.4 75.0 0 50.0 0.4 67.8 75.0
Luka Djurovic - 7 27.7 8.4 7.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 1.4 8.0 8.3 -72 -3.4 -25.8 41.1 28.6 84.6 1.02 47.8 42.9
Matt Yost - 1 37.2 8.0 8.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 11.0 -307 -17.1 -104.0 30.0 40.0 0 -2.43 40.0 40.0
Jerrick Guidry - 1 23.7 8.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 15.0 1 0.0 0.3 75.0 100.0 50.0 -2.13 82.0 87.5
Benjamin Bowen - 1 34.8 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 -4 -0.2 -0.9 50.0 33.3 33.3 -0.35 54.6 58.3
Blessing Adesipe - 13 24.6 7.4 5.2 1.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 6.1 7.5 -69 -3.1 -18.2 36.7 38.1 71.0 -1.69 51.8 46.8
Cooper Frith - 1 23.6 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 -4.0 -190 -11.9 -60.2 33.3 20.0 0 -3.33 38.9 38.9
Jimmy House - 1 13.2 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 49 2.7 22.2 28.6 20.0 100.0 1.68 44.4 35.7
Joshua Reid - 2 20.3 7.0 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 3.5 -15 -0.7 -4.9 50.0 0.0 0 0.9 50.0 50.0
Brock Mishak - 1 24.6 7.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 10.0 104 4.5 32.6 25.0 20.0 100.0 1.21 39.4 31.2
Zach Smith - 10 26.2 6.9 1.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 0.9 6.1 4.7 -121 -6.0 -27.7 37.7 25.0 61.5 -1.21 47.6 43.4
Fred Libby - 2 17.4 6.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.0 -58 -3.1 -12.5 62.5 60.0 0.0 0.25 77.0 81.2
Andrew Reichart - 2 18.8 6.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.5 7.0 -4 -0.2 -1.4 80.0 0 62.5 0.92 76.3 80.0
Schafer Reichart - 2 28.3 5.5 6.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 10.5 -104 -5.2 -23.2 66.7 50.0 40.0 1.81 67.1 75.0
Ethan Russell - 13 16.8 4.8 2.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.8 4.6 2.6 -92 -4.4 -62.9 38.3 26.8 50.0 -1.08 48.3 47.5
Luke Baltz - 2 15.6 4.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 4.0 4.5 -56 -3.7 -15.9 37.5 20.0 100.0 -1.93 50.7 43.8
Dyland Forbord - 1 32.9 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 -213 -11.8 -47.6 100.0 0 0 -0.82 100.0 100.0
Cayden Redfield - 1 15.6 4.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 -120 -5.0 -37.7 40.0 0.0 0 -0.03 40.0 40.0
Jackson Schauer - 12 11.1 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 3.2 1.8 -6 -0.3 -3.9 36.8 29.6 75.0 2.51 50.6 47.4
Ivan Dorn Jr - 1 13.4 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 0 14.3 - 36.8 100.0
Kenny Gonzalez - 1 24.7 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 -16 -3.2 -36.7 20.0 0.0 50.0 -0.35 25.5 20.0
Cameron Mercadel - 1 30.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 2.0 -42 -5.2 -23.3 14.3 33.3 0 0.5 21.4 21.4
Lane Tietz - 1 14.5 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -21 -2.1 -77.7 20.0 20.0 0 -1.3 30.0 30.0
Alec Wendt - 1 4.3 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -3 -0.3 -34.1 100.0 0 100.0 1.08 104.2 100.0
Jaden Holt - 1 1.9 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7 0.5 99.4 100.0 0 50.0 0.19 79.8 100.0
Jovan Jovanovic - 9 11.7 2.6 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.6 -0.3 -7 -0.5 -15.0 28.1 17.4 33.3 -0.74 34.5 34.4
Jaylen Alexander - 1 8.7 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 122 5.8 23.7 50.0 0 0 0.62 50.0 50.0
Guido Wanschelbaum - 1 3.4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -4 -0.3 -2.3 0 0 100.0 1.43 113.6 0
Amare Jackson - 1 20.3 2.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 -41 -2.0 -18.1 25.0 0.0 0 0.95 25.0 25.0
Noah Thomas - 1 16.2 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 -2.0 -62 -2.6 -17.6 14.3 0.0 0 -0.02 14.3 14.3
Simon Akena - 1 6.4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 89 4.5 18.6 50.0 0.0 0 0.18 50.0 50.0
Nicholas Jett - 1 11.9 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -7 -0.4 -8.0 33.3 0.0 0 -0.4 33.3 33.3
Jared Lloyd Jr. - 2 4.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 12 0.6 11.8 50.0 0.0 50.0 2.11 52.1 50.0
Alexi Anderson - 6 4.9 1.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.7 -6 -0.6 -16.1 50.0 0 50.0 -0.16 50.9 50.0
Bobby McWard - 2 6.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 -73 -5.2 -82.2 25.0 0.0 0 -0.99 25.0 25.0
Rifky Sedhom - 1 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 -82 -6.3 -63.5 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
Nathan Day - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 14 2.3 35.7 0 0 0 0.54 0 0
Chaz Holman - 1 2.7 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -12 -0.8 -54.4 0.0 0.0 0 -1.06 0.0 0.0
Tajuan Jamestown - 1 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -4.0 15 0.7 5.5 0.0 0.0 0 -2.86 0.0 0.0
Martin Poznanovic - 1 14.2 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 -17 -0.9 -11.3 0.0 0 0 -0.5 0.0 0.0
Lincoln Cantrall - 2 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 -0.5 6 0.3 3.5 0.0 0.0 0 -1.53 0.0 0.0
Ezra Guest - 2 10.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.5 -2.0 18 0.8 9.7 0.0 0.0 0 -1.15 0.0 0.0
Breckten Wilson - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97 3.5 38.5 0 0 0 2.59 0 0
Marley Baah-Yeboah - 1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -14 -2.0 -111.3 0.0 0 0 -0.86 0.0 0.0
PJ Chambers - 1 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -19 -1.4 -21.2 0 0 0 -1.17 0 0
Garrett Poelman - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3 0.1 3.0 0 0 0 0.87 0 0
TJ Brown - 1 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -0.4 -10.9 0 0 0 0.42 0 0
Camden Cowgill - 1 21.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -3.0 31 1.4 12.9 0.0 0.0 0 -1.17 0.0 0.0
Dawson Heider - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.5 -496.6 0 0 0 0.48 0 0
Dyson Riley - 1 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
JP Shiers - 1 3.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG