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Central St. (OH)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Central St. (OH)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 774 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 774 (#264) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 840 (#662) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -16.2 (#271) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -10.4 (#515) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.279 (#217) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.0 More → 0.698 (#217) NetEff +5.0
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -17.1 More → 0.072 (#403) NetEff -17.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.7 More → 0.155 (#266) AdjNet -14.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.5 More → 0.152 (#267) AdjNet -14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.306 (#267) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 69.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 49.8 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.275 (#625) AdjO 49.8 | AdjD 60.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.183 (#609) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.190 (#613) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 24 More → 759 (#486) RD 100 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 vs Cedarville W 62 - 52
2025-11-20 vs Benedict L 66 - 77
2025-11-22 vs Allen L 56 - 77
2025-11-25 @ Miles L 61 - 76
2025-11-29 vs Albany St. (GA) L 55 - 68
2025-12-04 @ Savannah St. L 53 - 63
2025-12-09 vs Simmons (KY) L 53 - 57
2025-12-11 vs Clark Atlanta L 47 - 71
2025-12-13 vs Fort Valley St. W 66 - 63
2025-12-17 @ Lewis L 44 - 74
2026-01-03 vs Miles L 49 - 80
2026-01-10 @ Albany St. (GA) L 52 - 72
2026-01-14 vs LeMoyne-Owen W 72 - 61
2026-01-17 vs Kentucky St. W 65 - 62
2026-01-19 @ Lane L 28 - 69
2026-01-22 @ Benedict - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Allen - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Savannah St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Edward Waters - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Clark Atlanta L 45 - 47
2026-02-07 @ Fort Valley St. L 45 - 48
2026-02-11 @ LeMoyne-Owen W 47 - 43
2026-02-14 @ Kentucky St. L 58 - 64
2026-02-16 vs Lane L 61 - 62
2026-02-28 @ Benedict L 58 - 63
2026-03-27 @ Bowie St. L 42 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ma'Kayla Williams - 23 32.7 13.0 3.5 1.3 1.1 0.2 3.3 13.4 2.3 -160 20 -8.0 -10.2 35.6 27.5 61.4 -1.23 43.3 40.1
Calyanna Cage - 16 28.0 10.6 2.5 1.9 1.5 0.0 3.4 12.2 0.9 -157 14 -11.2 -15.8 29.1 27.5 50.0 -4.28 37.2 33.9
DeZarae Stewart - 22 23.0 9.4 2.8 1.1 1.2 0.1 2.8 7.9 4.0 -134 20 -6.7 -12.2 37.4 31.2 75.6 0.05 49.3 41.7
Ashyia Maddickes - 24 26.7 6.9 6.8 1.2 1.4 0.2 3.1 5.9 7.4 -117 21 -5.6 -8.7 43.0 16.7 60.0 -0.58 47.7 43.3
Nicole Forbes - 13 16.0 5.4 2.1 0.8 1.2 0.1 1.8 4.9 2.9 13 9 1.4 3.7 40.6 38.1 58.8 1.71 49.0 46.9
Tyairah Flowers - 12 15.3 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.8 4.8 1.4 -37 12 -3.1 -8.4 34.5 21.4 55.0 0.81 40.4 37.1
Kierra Bond - 21 20.3 4.4 4.5 0.5 0.9 0.2 2.5 4.1 4.0 -141 20 -7.0 -14.4 30.2 0 53.2 -4.89 38.8 30.2
Samara Gibson - 24 26.3 4.1 2.6 2.1 2.2 0.2 3.1 4.1 4.1 -119 20 -6.0 -9.4 37.4 20.0 63.9 -0.38 43.1 38.4
Mikayla Young - 12 13.4 4.1 3.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 2.2 4.6 2.2 -121 13 -9.3 -27.3 34.5 16.7 58.8 -6.75 39.2 35.5
Kennedy Walker - 26 23.5 3.8 4.9 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.3 3.1 6.6 -122 23 -5.3 -8.9 53.8 0.0 46.7 -0.34 53.6 53.8
Brie'anah Hill - 21 11.2 1.7 3.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 2.7 -46 17 -2.7 -12.3 38.5 0.0 66.7 -1.97 41.9 38.5
Sydney Gorman - 15 6.9 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.2 -0.7 -39 13 -3.0 -18.5 24.2 24.0 50.0 -1.9 33.9 33.3
Viviana Clayton - 18 9.5 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.3 1.6 -0.1 -94 17 -5.5 -23.0 28.6 0 0.0 -4.26 26.1 28.6
Alana Smith - 12 9.8 0.8 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.1 1.8 0.4 -91 11 -8.3 -31.0 13.6 0.0 40.0 -6.97 18.9 13.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG