Central St. (OH)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 824 (#499) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 815 (#496) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 840 (#662) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -18.2 (#283) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.4 (#515) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.279 (#450) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.698 (#217) | NetEff +5.0 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.072 (#403) | NetEff -17.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.155 (#553) | AdjNet -14.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.152 (#556) | AdjNet -14.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.306 (#549) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.275 (#625) | AdjO 49.8 | AdjD 60.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.183 (#609) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.190 (#613) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 758 (#493) | RD 100 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Cedarville | W | 62 - 52 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Benedict | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Allen | L | 56 - 77 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Miles | L | 61 - 76 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | L | 55 - 68 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Savannah St. | L | 53 - 63 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Simmons (KY) | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Clark Atlanta | L | 47 - 71 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Fort Valley St. | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Lewis | L | 44 - 74 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Miles | L | 49 - 80 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | L | 52 - 72 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Kentucky St. | W | 65 - 62 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Lane | L | 28 - 69 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Benedict | L | 48 - 66 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Allen | L | 57 - 77 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Savannah St. | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Edward Waters | L | 38 - 64 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 45 - 47 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Fort Valley St. | L | 45 - 48 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ma'Kayla Williams | - | 18 | 32.4 | 13.4 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.2 | 14.3 | 1.6 | -79 | -4.2 | -48.3 | 34.9 | 24.1 | 60.6 | -0.32 | 41.8 | 38.6 |
| Calyanna Cage | - | 16 | 28.0 | 10.6 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 12.2 | 0.9 | -148 | -7.8 | -126.1 | 29.1 | 27.5 | 50.0 | -1.08 | 37.2 | 33.9 |
| DeZarae Stewart | - | 17 | 23.1 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 8.4 | 4.1 | -72 | -4.0 | -21.2 | 36.4 | 25.6 | 78.0 | -0.94 | 47.3 | 39.9 |
| Ashyia Maddickes | - | 20 | 27.6 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 7.1 | 9 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 41.0 | 20.0 | 56.6 | 2.33 | 45.1 | 41.4 |
| Nicole Forbes | - | 13 | 16.0 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 4.9 | 2.9 | -20 | -1.5 | -40.3 | 40.6 | 38.1 | 58.8 | 0.89 | 49.0 | 46.9 |
| Kierra Bond | - | 17 | 21.4 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 4.4 | -35 | -1.8 | -15.0 | 30.7 | 0 | 59.0 | 1.21 | 40.3 | 30.7 |
| Samara Gibson | - | 19 | 24.8 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 4.4 | 4.5 | -48 | -2.7 | -12.5 | 39.3 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -0.51 | 45.3 | 40.5 |
| Mikayla Young | - | 8 | 13.1 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 2.0 | -64 | -6.4 | -55.8 | 34.3 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -2.34 | 37.6 | 34.3 |
| Tyairah Flowers | - | 7 | 13.3 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | -32 | -4.6 | -20.4 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 0.04 | 41.4 | 44.0 |
| Kennedy Walker | - | 21 | 23.9 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 6.2 | -65 | -3.0 | -22.3 | 46.8 | 0.0 | 38.5 | -0.66 | 46.3 | 46.8 |
| Brie'anah Hill | - | 16 | 13.1 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | -43 | -2.4 | -71.2 | 37.8 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.84 | 41.5 | 37.8 |
| Alana Smith | - | 7 | 12.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | -59 | -11.8 | -40.5 | 20.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.93 | 27.0 | 20.0 |
| Sydney Gorman | - | 11 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | -1.1 | -80 | -6.7 | -106.8 | 16.7 | 17.6 | 0 | -1.9 | 22.9 | 22.9 |
| Viviana Clayton | - | 13 | 8.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | -0.5 | -71 | -4.7 | -111.7 | 21.4 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.24 | 20.2 | 21.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG