Central Penn Knights
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 982 (#448) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 977 (#538) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 989 (#412) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.2 (#940) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.5 (#535) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.416 (#495) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 69.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.188 (#538) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.229 (#533) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 772 (#566) | RD 350 | GP 3 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-13 | @ | VMI Keydets | L | 81 - 116 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ | Longwood Lancers | L | 75 - 88 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ | Radford Highlanders | L | 68 - 95 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Lacy
|
- | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 | 0 | 0 |
C. Arnold
|
- | 2 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 |
W. Kirkland
|
- | 3 | 15.3 | 5.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0 | 0 |
A. Clagett
|
- | 3 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG