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Central Penn

Also known as: Central Penn
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 904 (#606) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -70.5 (#728) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.253 (#560) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -40.4 More → 0.009 (#668) AdjNet -40.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -42.8 More → 0.007 (#669) AdjNet -42.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 39.4 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.090 (#667) AdjO 39.4 | AdjD 64.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 47.1 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.091 (#706) AdjO 47.1 | AdjD 72.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.020 (#715) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.022 (#716) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 233 | GP 1 More → 745 (#515) RD 233 | GP 1

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-18 @ Clarks Summit W 70 - 40
2023-12-07 vs Centenary (NJ) L 57 - 76
2023-12-14 @ Trinity Washington L 0 - 0

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
ALLISON YODER - 2 33.0 15.0 11.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 12.0 15.5 - - - 54.2 0 66.7 - 56.3 54.2
AHNAE ROBINSON - 2 17.0 14.5 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 12.5 9.0 -16 -2.7 -3.6 52.0 50.0 100.0 0.03 56.0 54.0
SYDNEY BUBB - 2 36.0 10.0 6.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 4.0 9.5 5.5 - - - 26.3 16.7 90.0 - 42.7 28.9
SIDNEY GREEN - 2 30.5 9.5 6.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 3.5 12.5 1.5 - - - 24.0 0.0 58.3 0.45 31.4 24.0
ASHANTE AMOS - 2 29.5 5.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 0.0 4.5 8.5 0.5 - - - 29.4 33.3 0 - 32.4 32.4
CAYLA THOMAS - 2 29.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 4.5 4.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 0.21 50.6 44.4
KAMIA GOODLEY - 1 11.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
BRANDI SWINTON - 2 10.0 2.0 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 0 0 - 25.0 25.0
MARY NYAGWOKA - 2 9.5 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG