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Central Mo.

Also known as: Central Mo.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1252 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1250 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1134 (#47) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +22.4 (#5) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +23.1 (#41) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.663 (#94) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.4 More โ†’ 0.914 (#184) NetEff +21.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.2 More โ†’ 0.936 (#15) AdjNet +23.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.1 More โ†’ 0.920 (#21) AdjNet +21.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 60.4 More โ†’ 0.808 (#24) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 60.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 65.4 More โ†’ 0.826 (#9) AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 65.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.873 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.869 (#21) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 25 More โ†’ 1239 (#30) RD 97 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines W 96 - 84
2025-11-08 @ Mont. St. Billings L 75 - 80
2025-11-09 vs N.M. Highlands W 78 - 74
2025-11-14 @ Minnesota St. L 63 - 81
2025-11-15 @ Sioux Falls W 82 - 77
2025-11-20 vs Upper Iowa W 84 - 79
2025-11-25 @ McKendree W 75 - 67
2025-11-26 @ Drury W 89 - 67
2025-11-30 vs Tabor W 89 - 62
2025-12-04 vs Fort Hays St. W 64 - 50
2025-12-06 vs Neb.-Kearney W 99 - 69
2025-12-13 @ Washburn L 72 - 78
2025-12-16 vs West Tex. A&M W 88 - 78
2025-12-17 @ Lubbock Christian L 65 - 70
2025-12-21 vs Maryville (MO) W 110 - 63
2026-01-01 vs Emporia St. W 78 - 71
2026-01-07 @ Northwest Mo. St. W 76 - 72
2026-01-10 @ Missouri Western L 76 - 88
2026-01-14 @ Newman W 96 - 57
2026-01-17 @ Emporia St. L 88 - 89
2026-01-21 vs Missouri Western W 97 - 83
2026-01-23 vs Northwest Mo. St. L 79 - 80
2026-01-29 @ Neb.-Kearney W 92 - 53
2026-01-31 @ Fort Hays St. W 61 - 49
2026-02-07 vs Washburn W 74 - 72
2026-02-12 vs Northeastern St. W 92 - 65
2026-02-14 vs Ark.-Fort Smith W 80 - 52
2026-02-19 @ Rogers St. L 61 - 70
2026-02-21 @ Central Okla. W 74 - 70
2026-02-25 vs Mo. Southern St. W 95 - 69
2026-02-28 vs Pittsburg St. W 78 - 61
2026-03-05 vs Mo. Southern St. L 67 - 70
2026-03-14 vs Rogers St. W 88 - 77
2026-03-15 @ Okla. Baptist L 63 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lazerek Houston - 32 32.9 20.4 4.2 5.1 1.6 0.5 3.2 16.0 12.5 - - - - 45.2 36.3 75.8 - 56.3 52.3
Jevon Hill - 32 30.1 14.3 5.4 0.9 0.6 0.5 1.2 9.3 11.2 - - - - 48.3 46.1 87.5 - 70.1 67.3
Kyran Tilley - 32 31.3 12.2 3.9 3.7 1.6 0.2 2.0 10.0 9.6 - - - - 43.6 33.3 70.6 - 53.9 50.2
Trinell Parker - 32 24.5 10.9 5.2 0.8 0.4 0.6 1.4 7.6 8.9 - - - - 59.5 0 62.5 - 61.2 59.5
Jake Fritz - 32 23.7 7.4 3.2 1.5 1.1 0.3 0.8 5.5 7.2 - - - - 45.1 42.6 75.0 - 59.9 56.6
Carter Kaifes - 32 20.7 5.2 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 3.9 4.9 - - - - 50.0 38.4 69.2 - 64.0 63.3
Deadric Fikes - 17 10.8 4.0 2.7 0.9 0.8 0.5 1.3 3.3 4.4 - - - - 53.6 33.3 57.1 - 57.5 57.1
Noah Martin - 32 11.4 2.8 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.8 4.0 - - - - 54.2 34.6 72.0 - 65.0 61.9
Naz Brown - 19 6.4 1.7 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.3 - - - - 37.9 38.9 57.1 - 51.4 50.0
AJ Lux - 25 9.2 1.6 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.0 1.9 - - - - 28.6 24.4 50.0 - 39.1 38.8
Kyree Polk - 27 7.7 1.4 2.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 3.5 - - - - 70.0 0 45.0 - 64.2 70.0
Deshawne Crim - 16 2.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.6 - - - - 37.5 33.3 71.4 - 52.4 46.9
Judah Sault - 12 1.7 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 - - - - 20.0 25.0 0 - 30.0 30.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG