Central Mo.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1252 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1250 (#32) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1134 (#47) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +22.4 (#5) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +23.1 (#41) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.663 (#94) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.914 (#184) | NetEff +21.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.936 (#15) | AdjNet +23.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.920 (#21) | AdjNet +21.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.808 (#24) | AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.826 (#9) | AdjO 82.5 | AdjD 65.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.873 (#24) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.869 (#21) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1239 (#30) | RD 97 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazerek Houston | - | 32 | 32.9 | 20.4 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 16.0 | 12.5 | - | - | - | - | 45.2 | 36.3 | 75.8 | - | 56.3 | 52.3 |
| Jevon Hill | - | 32 | 30.1 | 14.3 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 9.3 | 11.2 | - | - | - | - | 48.3 | 46.1 | 87.5 | - | 70.1 | 67.3 |
| Kyran Tilley | - | 32 | 31.3 | 12.2 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 9.6 | - | - | - | - | 43.6 | 33.3 | 70.6 | - | 53.9 | 50.2 |
| Trinell Parker | - | 32 | 24.5 | 10.9 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 7.6 | 8.9 | - | - | - | - | 59.5 | 0 | 62.5 | - | 61.2 | 59.5 |
| Jake Fritz | - | 32 | 23.7 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 7.2 | - | - | - | - | 45.1 | 42.6 | 75.0 | - | 59.9 | 56.6 |
| Carter Kaifes | - | 32 | 20.7 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 4.9 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 38.4 | 69.2 | - | 64.0 | 63.3 |
| Deadric Fikes | - | 17 | 10.8 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 4.4 | - | - | - | - | 53.6 | 33.3 | 57.1 | - | 57.5 | 57.1 |
| Noah Martin | - | 32 | 11.4 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 54.2 | 34.6 | 72.0 | - | 65.0 | 61.9 |
| Naz Brown | - | 19 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | 37.9 | 38.9 | 57.1 | - | 51.4 | 50.0 |
| AJ Lux | - | 25 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 24.4 | 50.0 | - | 39.1 | 38.8 |
| Kyree Polk | - | 27 | 7.7 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 70.0 | 0 | 45.0 | - | 64.2 | 70.0 |
| Deshawne Crim | - | 16 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 37.5 | 33.3 | 71.4 | - | 52.4 | 46.9 |
| Judah Sault | - | 12 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG