🐻⬇️🏀

Central Mich.

Season: 2026
Also known as: Central Mich.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#189) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1048 (#197) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1016 (#273) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +19.1 (#100) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#93) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +36.3 More → 0.996 (#70) NetEff +36.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.3 More → 0.972 (#117) AdjNet +30.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +29.8 More → 0.973 (#122) AdjNet +29.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 52.3 More → 0.836 (#140) AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 52.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.586 (#185) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.839 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.808 (#84) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1089 (#124) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 vs Davenport - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.