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Central Mich.

Also known as: Central Mich.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1040 (#203) -
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1036 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1142 (#88) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1096 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 952 (#600) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +23.8 (#49) HCA +2.4
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +4.0 (#146) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +0.8 (#337) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.990 (#171) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +51.1 More → 0.997 (#1) NetEff +51.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.4 More → 0.913 (#170) AdjNet +20.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.0 More → 0.914 (#171) AdjNet +20.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 91.7 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.842 (#154) AdjO 91.7 | AdjD 73.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 72.5 More → 0.575 (#254) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 72.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.544 (#364) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.535 (#378) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 22 More → 1034 (#314) RD 102 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ La Roche - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 vs Chatham - Incomplete score
2025-11-11 vs Muskingum - Incomplete score
2025-11-16 vs Denison - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Wash. & Jeff. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Penn St.-Behrend - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 @ Walsh - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Adrian - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Bowdoin - Incomplete score
2025-12-07 @ Middlebury - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 vs Olivet - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 vs Allegheny - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 vs Whittier - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 @ Saint Vincent - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Dickinson - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs CWRU - Incomplete score
2026-01-12 vs UC Santa Cruz - Incomplete score
2026-01-16 vs WashU - Incomplete score
2026-01-18 vs UChicago - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 @ Rochester (NY) - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 @ Brandeis - Incomplete score
2026-02-01 @ NYU - Incomplete score
2026-02-06 vs Brandeis - Incomplete score
2026-02-08 vs NYU - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ray Cuevas - 1 38.0 39.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 20.0 30.0 20 1.2 4.8 55.0 62.5 80.0 2.58 73.3 67.5
Joe Espy - 1 33.0 27.0 18.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 13.0 31.0 -93 -5.2 -54.2 76.9 0 46.7 1.83 68.9 76.9
Ben Lim - 1 25.0 19.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 13.0 -76 -5.4 -37.0 63.6 20.0 100.0 0.93 74.5 68.2
Nikola Dimitrijevic - 17 28.0 15.6 7.8 2.7 0.6 1.5 2.9 10.9 14.6 -25 -1.7 -4.3 56.2 21.7 66.2 -0.71 60.4 57.6
Buckley DeJardin - 17 31.9 12.9 3.6 1.9 1.3 0.5 1.4 10.2 8.6 -33 -1.9 -5.3 43.1 36.8 77.1 1.33 56.1 52.3
Sam Adusei - 17 31.8 12.4 5.0 2.6 2.0 0.3 3.0 9.6 9.6 -26 -1.6 -4.2 39.9 17.7 71.9 2.75 51.2 43.3
Evan Mirazimi - 18 30.3 11.1 6.6 1.9 0.6 0.8 2.1 9.1 9.9 14 0.9 2.3 47.6 32.7 54.0 4.3 53.8 52.7
Thomas Conley - 1 26.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 -109 -6.8 -77.8 37.5 37.5 100.0 -1.14 61.9 56.2
Leo Wagner - 1 20.0 11.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 7.0 -86 -5.4 -73.4 37.5 25.0 100.0 1.17 56.4 43.8
Isaac Higgs - 18 30.6 10.4 3.8 1.2 1.2 0.3 1.6 8.6 6.7 0 0.0 0.0 42.6 32.5 57.4 -1.26 52.6 50.6
Hunter Kennedy - 1 22.0 9.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 16.0 -74 -5.3 -80.3 60.0 50.0 100.0 -3.73 76.5 70.0
Ian Brown - 17 16.6 5.6 2.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 5.4 2.2 -39 -2.6 -15.8 37.0 30.0 60.0 -2.59 48.2 46.7
Kevin Reeves - 1 22.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 30 1.9 11.3 40.0 0 50.0 1.52 42.5 40.0
Nolan Casey - 18 18.2 4.6 4.9 2.1 0.3 0.3 1.1 3.8 7.4 -54 -3.2 -15.6 52.9 12.5 64.3 0.38 56.0 54.4
Miles Burrows - 1 11.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -27 -1.6 -20.1 50.0 50.0 0 1.09 75.0 75.0
Aidan Carleson - 1 16.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -98 -5.4 -117.6 50.0 100.0 0 -5.62 75.0 75.0
Ben Chilson - 1 25.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 26 2.9 82.8 33.3 33.3 0 2.04 50.0 50.0
Nolan Bessire - 1 23.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 -19 -1.4 -6.8 50.0 0 100.0 -0.39 61.5 50.0
Justas Bardauskas - 1 26.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Dylan Bronner - 15 6.6 0.8 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 0.9 -2 -0.2 -1.5 20.0 11.1 75.0 -0.58 27.6 22.5
Robert Uhl - 4 4.6 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.0 -9 -3.0 -129.3 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Chase Collignon - 10 6.3 0.4 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.3 -15 -1.9 -12.3 16.7 0.0 0.0 -1.69 15.5 16.7
Sam Andreottola - 3 2.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -5 -2.5 -27.5 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Alex Hassanein - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Carter Klaus - 2 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -3.0 -43.1 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lucas Zienkewicz - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG