Central Connecticut
2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)
46.8
PPG
74.8
Opp
-28.0
Margin
33.3%
FG%
25.6%
3P%
59.2%
FT%
32.6
RPG
8.2
APG
23.6
TO
70.7
Est. poss./game
50.7
Adj PPG
67.4
Adj Opp PPG
#354
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 509 (#363) | Preseason prior 571 (returning production + recruiting): last season 731, returning -102, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 690 (#362) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 694 (#362) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.7 (#349) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -23.6 (#349) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.018 (#349) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.068 (#355) | AdjNet -25.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.063 (#355) | AdjNet -25.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.141 (#354) | AdjO 50.7 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.143 (#354) | AdjO 50.7 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.100 (#356) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.101 (#356) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 655 (#363) | RD 164 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.064 (#361) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | VCU Rams | L | 43 - 67 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | James Madison Dukes | L | 38 - 77 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Coppin State Eagles | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Rider Broncs | L | 45 - 56 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Massachusetts Minutewomen | L | 48 - 96 |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Colgate Raiders | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | UMass Lowell River Hawks | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jill Dingler
|
G | 5 | 29.8 | 10.6 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 11.4 | 3.0 | -83 | 4 | -20.8 | -27.3 | 31.6 | 18.5 | 57.1 | -4.73 | 40.0 | 36.0 |
Valentina Vrcan
|
G | 5 | 19.6 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 2.2 | -42 | 4 | -10.5 | -20.7 | 34.5 | 33.3 | 38.5 | -2.66 | 41.8 | 41.4 |
Liana Salamone
|
G | 5 | 22.2 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.6 | -55 | 4 | -13.8 | -23.2 | 39.1 | 0 | 63.6 | -2.08 | 44.9 | 39.1 |
Nyasia McKelvey
|
C | 5 | 15.8 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 5.0 | -39 | 4 | -9.8 | -25.4 | 47.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -2.72 | 50.3 | 50.0 |
Na-kyah Williams
|
G | 5 | 17.8 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 39.1 | 22.2 | 50.0 | - | 44.4 | 43.5 |
Jessica Farrell
|
G | 1 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -3.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -14.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -1.18 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Jah'Nae Stevens
|
F | 5 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 5.0 | -0.2 | -27 | 4 | -6.8 | -19.0 | 32.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.92 | 33.6 | 32.0 |
Vanyah Otey
|
G | 5 | 14.8 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 1.0 | -40 | 4 | -10.0 | -25.4 | 33.3 | 35.7 | 0 | -1.31 | 47.2 | 47.2 |
Nicora Patrick
|
G | 5 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | -52 | 4 | -13.0 | -31.0 | 23.1 | 20.0 | 80.0 | -5.58 | 43.1 | 26.9 |
Kyndal Box
|
G | 3 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | -1 | 2 | -0.5 | -4.3 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -1.01 | 101.4 | 100.0 |
Mia Toure
|
F | 3 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 14.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.86 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
Christa Ramos
|
G | 4 | 16.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 | -13 | 3 | -4.3 | -9.9 | 7.7 | 12.5 | 100.0 | 0.7 | 18.0 | 11.5 |
Taryn Campbell
|
F | 5 | 16.4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -35 | 4 | -8.8 | -19.4 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.33 | 25.8 | 16.7 |
Isys Dunphy
|
G | 5 | 8.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | -1.6 | -38 | 4 | -9.5 | -48.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.87 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
252 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jill DinglerValentina VrcanNyasia McKelveyLiana SalamoneVanyah OteyJah'Nae StevensKyndal BoxJessica Farrell
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 29-54 | 53.7 | 58 | Jill Dingler 28% (16 pts) | Jah'Nae Stevens 17% (10 pts) | Jill Dingler 24% (6 misses) | Christa Ramos 12% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 23-71 | 32.4 | 46 | Liana Salamone 22% (10 pts) | Jill Dingler 17% (8 pts) | Liana Salamone 21% (10 misses) | Jah'Nae Stevens 17% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-19 | 21.1 | 8 | Nyasia McKelvey 75% (6 pts) | Na-kyah Williams 25% (2 pts) | Jah'Nae Stevens 33% (5 misses) | Isys Dunphy 13% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-9 | 33.3 | 6 | Jah'Nae Stevens 33% (2 pts) | Jill Dingler 33% (2 pts) | Jill Dingler 33% (2 misses) | Jah'Nae Stevens 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-16 | 25.0 | 8 | Jessica Farrell 25% (2 pts) | Mia Toure 25% (2 pts) | Jill Dingler 25% (3 misses) | Jah'Nae Stevens 17% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-11 | 9.1 | 3 | Vanyah Otey 100% (3 pts) | - | Jill Dingler 30% (3 misses) | Na-kyah Williams 30% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-6 | 33.3 | 6 | Jill Dingler 50% (3 pts) | Na-kyah Williams 50% (3 pts) | Jill Dingler 75% (3 misses) | Nicora Patrick 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-20 | 40.0 | 24 | Kyndal Box 25% (6 pts) | Valentina Vrcan 25% (6 pts) | Valentina Vrcan 33% (4 misses) | Vanyah Otey 25% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-22 | 13.6 | 9 | Vanyah Otey 67% (6 pts) | Jill Dingler 33% (3 pts) | Jill Dingler 32% (6 misses) | Vanyah Otey 26% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-24 | 29.2 | 21 | Jill Dingler 43% (9 pts) | Valentina Vrcan 29% (6 pts) | Jill Dingler 53% (9 misses) | Christa Ramos 18% (3 misses) |