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Central Baptist College

Also known as: Central Baptist College Mustangs
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 621 (#1112) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 637 (#1111) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 966 (#469) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -15.7 (#846) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -44.9 (#591) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 81.2 More → 0.129 (#593) AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 81.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.070 (#582) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.080 (#589) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 288 | GP 3 More → 772 (#567) RD 288 | GP 3

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-12-31 @ Central Arkansas Bears L 82 - 107
2013-02-18 @ New Orleans Privateers L 59 - 100
2013-02-20 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 48 - 118

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Caraway S. Caraway - 1 35.0 23.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 29.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
B. Hanney B. Hanney - 3 35.7 20.3 6.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 27.3 - - - 0 0 0 -1.48 0 0
C. Corman C. Corman - 3 32.7 9.3 11.7 2.3 1.0 3.7 2.7 0.0 25.3 - - - 0 0 0 -1.23 0 0
M. Stevenson M. Stevenson - 2 29.0 8.0 4.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 4.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 -1.0 0 0
T. Eskridge T. Eskridge - 1 28.0 6.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
J. Chatters J. Chatters - 2 14.5 4.0 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.28 0 0
X. Lindsey X. Lindsey - 2 20.5 4.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 4.5 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
X. Huskey X. Huskey F 1 17.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG