🐻⬇️🏀

Central Arkansas

Also known as: Central Arkansas Bears
Program History

2022 Team Stats (3 games)

58.0
PPG
81.9
Opp
-9.5
Margin
37.1%
FG%
26.2%
3P%
61.0%
FT%
35.0
RPG
12.0
APG
20.0
TO
85.3
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 985 (#328) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 976 (#384) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 970 (#520) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +12.1 (#377) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +3.3 (#303) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -37.5 More → 0.009 (#330) NetEff -37.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 75.9 More → 0.434 (#507) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 75.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.518 (#305) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.500 (#306) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 28 More → 948 (#279) RD 154 | GP 28

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 61 - 96
2021-11-12 @ Butler Bulldogs L 53 - 85
2021-11-17 @ Baylor Bears L 47 - 92
2021-11-20 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 70 - 67
2021-11-25 vs VMI Keydets L 67 - 73
2021-11-26 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose L 66 - 75
2021-12-01 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 60 - 97
2021-12-04 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 82 - 95
2021-12-18 @ Missouri State Bears L 70 - 106
2021-12-20 vs Hendrix College Warriors W 90 - 56
2022-01-04 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 79 - 72
2022-01-09 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 93 - 88
2022-01-11 @ Bellarmine Knights L 63 - 85
2022-01-15 vs North Alabama Lions W 89 - 88
2022-01-18 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 81 - 86
2022-01-27 @ North Florida Ospreys L 74 - 93
2022-01-29 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 59 - 79
2022-02-03 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 93 - 95
2022-02-05 vs Stetson Hatters W 79 - 75
2022-02-09 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 72 - 83
2022-02-12 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 72 - 62
2022-02-16 vs Bellarmine Knights L 69 - 79
2022-02-19 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 83 - 76
2022-02-21 vs Liberty Flames L 66 - 85
2022-02-23 @ North Alabama Lions W 81 - 72
2022-02-26 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 66 - 81
2022-03-01 vs Stetson Hatters W 74 - 73
2022-03-03 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 69 - 79

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Hunter C. Hunter - 27 32.9 14.4 4.7 3.4 1.6 0.4 2.8 2.9 18.8 -140 -4.7 -5.9 33.3 14.3 75.0 0.9 215.9 35.9
K. McDowell K. McDowell G 1 35.0 14.0 5.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 23.0 226 7.5 10.0 0 0 0 1.29 0 0
E. Kayouloud E. Kayouloud - 28 23.3 12.4 5.0 1.5 0.7 0.4 1.3 1.7 17.0 -80 -2.6 -4.6 52.1 27.3 72.7 0.41 329.3 55.2
C. Cooper C. Cooper - 26 31.8 9.6 2.3 2.5 0.7 0.0 1.7 2.1 11.4 -166 -5.7 -7.4 40.7 40.5 85.7 -0.28 206.9 54.6
D. Hall D. Hall G 3 21.7 8.7 4.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 8.3 3.3 -127 -5.1 -7.5 40.0 60.0 60.0 0.12 47.8 46.0
J. Chatham J. Chatham F 5 20.8 7.2 4.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.2 3.2 8.6 -181 -5.8 -9.1 62.5 0.0 0 -0.78 112.5 62.5
VJ Reeves VJ Reeves - 8 15.8 5.5 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.9 3.1 4.6 -97 -10.8 -25.1 44.0 12.5 0 -0.85 88.0 46.0
Masai Olowokere Masai Olowokere - 20 17.7 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.7 0.6 8.4 -18 -0.8 -1.9 18.2 0.0 50.0 0.09 437.7 18.2
Ibbe Klintman Ibbe Klintman - 26 22.6 3.9 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.2 1.4 0.3 7.3 -85 -2.9 -5.2 22.2 0.0 66.7 0.05 494.2 22.2
F. Lacis F. Lacis F 1 31.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 17.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaxson Baker Jaxson Baker - 3 23.0 2.3 1.0 1.3 0.7 0.3 1.0 5.3 -0.7 122 3.6 11.6 12.5 20.0 50.0 -0.44 20.7 18.8
M. Abii M. Abii F 1 7.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 91 3.6 14.8 0 0 0 0.64 0 0
D. Moore D. Moore G 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 31 1.2 8.1 0 0 0 0.19 0 0
Elias Cato Elias Cato - 17 8.2 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 2.1 -52 -2.6 -12.3 37.5 25.0 25.0 -0.39 153.7 43.8
L. McDaniel L. McDaniel - 9 6.9 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.0 1.6 -31 -3.1 -18.1 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0
SK Shittu SK Shittu PF 5 8.8 0.8 1.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 - - - 16.7 0.0 0 -0.57 33.3 16.7
C. Bounds C. Bounds - 11 4.7 0.7 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 2.0 -1 -0.1 -0.5 0 0 100.0 0.15 454.5 0
Brendan Simmons Brendan Simmons - 7 2.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 14 2.0 3.2 0 0 0 0.25 0 0
J. Munson J. Munson - 8 2.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG