Central (IA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 993 (#393) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1042 (#285) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1079 (#119) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.2 (#194) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.4 (#463) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.604 (#398) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.581 (#326) | AdjNet +2.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.573 (#326) | AdjNet +2.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.552 (#320) | AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 74.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.457 (#497) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 80.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.443 (#446) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.451 (#442) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1150 (#98) | RD 143 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Coe | W | 88 - 85 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 93 - 91 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 66 - 87 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Loras | L | 66 - 89 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Dubuque | W | 79 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Schipper | - | 5 | 39.8 | 17.8 | 9.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 10.0 | 16.8 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 58.0 | 41.4 | 90.5 | 0.05 | 75.1 | 70.0 |
| Kyle Cason | - | 5 | 33.9 | 16.6 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 8.4 | -24 | -1.2 | -6.4 | 42.9 | 15.8 | 71.4 | 0.56 | 50.4 | 45.0 |
| Braylon Thomsen | - | 5 | 32.7 | 16.0 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 10.2 | 10.8 | -50 | -2.5 | -17.3 | 56.9 | 47.4 | 81.2 | -1.29 | 68.9 | 65.7 |
| Anthony Gott | - | 5 | 27.5 | 14.2 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 12.6 | 9.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -13.6 | 47.6 | 0 | 61.1 | -1.13 | 50.1 | 47.6 |
| Brad Curren | - | 5 | 32.1 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 6.6 | -21 | -1.1 | -5.5 | 47.4 | 43.8 | 66.7 | 2.98 | 66.4 | 65.8 |
| Carson Jones | - | 5 | 29.4 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 1.6 | -7 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 19.2 | 12.5 | 87.5 | -0.55 | 32.2 | 23.1 |
| Sage Suntken | - | 5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 7.8 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Boaz Clark | - | 3 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10 | 0.8 | 12.1 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Alex Ruba | - | 5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Alier Agau | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Fulton Flesher | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Evan Hatcher | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Dario Biaggi | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ross Kusel | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Derek Thissen | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Grant Uecker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Weyrauch | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG