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Centenary (NJ)

Season: 2026
Also known as: Centenary (NJ)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 988 (#206) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 879 (#287) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More โ†’ 1002 (#435) HCA +56 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More โ†’ 963 (#580) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -17.3 (#341) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -13.8 (#595) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -17.0 (#638) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.212 (#344) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.9 More โ†’ 0.047 (#364) AdjNet -25.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -26.2 More โ†’ 0.045 (#365) AdjNet -26.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 83.2 More โ†’ 0.149 (#365) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 83.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 75.2 More โ†’ 0.488 (#434) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 75.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 74.8 More โ†’ 0.317 (#655) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.350 (#540) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.265 (#611) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.341 (#554) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.283 (#604) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 73 | GP 44 More โ†’ 909 (#471) RD 73 | GP 44

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-02-11 vs Saint Elizabeth W 90 - 87
2026-02-14 @ Immaculata W 94 - 85
2026-02-18 @ Gwynedd Mercy W 76 - 70
2026-02-21 vs Neumann L 58 - 71
2026-02-26 @ Gwynedd Mercy L 77 - 96

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kenneth Rankin - 2 39.5 25.5 10.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 4.0 19.0 15.5 - - - - 50.0 28.6 64.7 - 56.1 52.6
Justin Carbone - 2 36.5 18.0 6.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.5 12.5 - - - - 44.4 54.5 100.0 - 60.7 55.6
Devin Strickland - 2 28.9 14.5 3.5 3.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 7.5 - - - - 43.3 0.0 60.0 - 45.0 43.3
Naire Preston - 2 22.9 8.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 7.5 6.0 - - - - 33.3 41.7 100.0 - 53.5 50.0
Jasir Lane - 2 29.6 8.0 11.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 7.5 12.0 - - - - 33.3 0 66.7 - 42.2 33.3
Domenic Raymond - 2 10.4 4.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 4.0 - - - - 60.0 0 75.0 - 66.6 60.0
Jack Martin - 2 13.2 3.5 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 4.5 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 58.3 58.3
Darnelle Forrest - 2 19.1 3.0 3.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 - - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 27.6 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG