Cedar Crest
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1024 (#191) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 984 (#346) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1031 (#245) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -17.5 (#342) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.5 (#462) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.481 (#464) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.893 (#165) | NetEff +13.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.005 (#682) | AdjNet -44.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.004 (#681) | AdjNet -46.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.075 (#677) | AdjO 44.5 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.664 (#167) | AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 55.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.560 (#328) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.581 (#314) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 977 (#347) | RD 141 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Penn St.-Schuylkill | W | 104 - 14 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Penn College | L | 52 - 55 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Cairn | W | 73 - 40 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Trinity Washington | W | 78 - 39 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | W | 74 - 49 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Bincarosky | - | 6 | 31.0 | 21.5 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 16.5 | 11.7 | 61 | 2.9 | 13.3 | 45.5 | 44.6 | 85.7 | -1.84 | 63.2 | 62.1 |
| Analyse Rios | - | 6 | 24.9 | 12.3 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.8 | 7.3 | 12 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 35.2 | 13.3 | 81.5 | 2.56 | 44.6 | 36.6 |
| Samora Merchant | - | 6 | 27.2 | 11.2 | 12.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 12.3 | 15.8 | 41 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 37.8 | 0 | 42.3 | 1.71 | 39.2 | 37.8 |
| Weronika Swojak | - | 6 | 25.9 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 9.2 | 38 | 3.8 | 10.4 | 48.8 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 3.02 | 50.4 | 48.8 |
| Gabrielle Moore | - | 6 | 23.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 6.8 | -31 | -1.5 | -13.4 | 51.4 | 36.8 | 16.7 | -0.9 | 58.0 | 60.8 |
| Ginger Kerdock | - | 6 | 32.1 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 10.5 | 49 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 39.5 | 8.3 | 66.7 | 4.51 | 42.7 | 40.7 |
| Megan Perrine | - | 5 | 16.6 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 3.4 | -15 | -0.8 | -15.4 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.84 | 35.9 | 35.0 |
| Hailey Wolbeck | - | 4 | 15.2 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 6.2 | -8 | -0.4 | -7.1 | 45.5 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.04 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Brooke Leonardi | - | 5 | 13.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 0.4 | -43 | -2.3 | -64.1 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.24 | 19.6 | 14.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG