Catholic
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1173 (#44) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1242 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1135 (#56) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.7 (#15) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.4 (#215) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.862 (#264) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.856 (#203) | AdjNet +15.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.853 (#207) | AdjNet +15.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.729 (#211) | AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.782 (#40) | AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 64.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.790 (#113) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.796 (#85) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1236 (#38) | RD 100 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Lynchburg | W | 82 - 63 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Hood | L | 106 - 109 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Chris. Newport | W | 84 - 74 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Goucher | W | 62 - 56 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Lycoming | W | 82 - 49 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Marymount (VA) | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Juniata | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Wilkes | W | 91 - 79 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | UChicago | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 84 - 48 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Moravian | W | 90 - 80 |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | Drew | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Susquehanna | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Scranton | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Elizabethtown | W | 87 - 70 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Lycoming | W | 86 - 59 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Goucher | W | 95 - 51 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Wilkes | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Juniata | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Moravian | W | 97 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Yusavage | - | 1 | 28.4 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 48 | 2.8 | 11.9 | 35.3 | 33.3 | 80.0 | 1.27 | 51.4 | 41.2 |
| CJ Ruoff | - | 20 | 32.4 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 14.3 | 12.5 | 89 | 4.7 | 20.1 | 46.5 | 39.3 | 67.5 | 4.22 | 58.0 | 54.5 |
| Brian Herbert | - | 19 | 31.3 | 16.8 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 10.5 | 13.8 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.4 | 47.0 | 35.0 | 84.0 | -1.99 | 61.9 | 52.2 |
| Benjamin Manns | - | 1 | 17.2 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 41 | 2.6 | 15.9 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.18 | 84.1 | 78.6 |
| Charley Hepting | - | 20 | 27.9 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 10.1 | 79 | 4.2 | 18.4 | 64.1 | 0 | 75.6 | 4.26 | 66.7 | 64.1 |
| Andre De Los Reyes | - | 1 | 16.6 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 59 | 3.1 | 17.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 1.41 | 53.6 | 56.2 |
| Kevin Cronin | - | 1 | 24.9 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -27 | -1.4 | -8.5 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | -0.87 | 71.2 | 80.0 |
| Peter Gellene | - | 19 | 15.2 | 7.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 70 | 3.9 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 50.9 | 83.3 | 1.13 | 68.2 | 67.5 |
| Googie Seidman | - | 20 | 24.8 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 38 | 2.0 | 10.1 | 32.6 | 35.1 | 69.2 | 3.18 | 49.8 | 47.3 |
| Devon Musial | - | 1 | 18.9 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 8 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.33 | 51.8 | 40.0 |
| Jamie Ntiamoah | - | 11 | 23.4 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 10.5 | 19 | 2.4 | 8.4 | 52.8 | 0 | 65.2 | -4.13 | 56.2 | 52.8 |
| Michael Dankert | - | 13 | 21.9 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 11.1 | 59 | 4.2 | 26.7 | 68.6 | 60.0 | 58.3 | 0.35 | 71.1 | 71.6 |
| Matthew Gorman | - | 16 | 17.8 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 67 | 4.2 | 21.9 | 41.2 | 47.4 | 66.7 | 1.43 | 56.6 | 54.4 |
| Chris Rubayo | - | 8 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 5 | 0.6 | 10.0 | 47.4 | 0.0 | 88.9 | -0.27 | 63.2 | 47.4 |
| David Musial | - | 1 | 31.5 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 26 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.9 | 27.3 | 16.7 |
| Charlie Thornton | - | 1 | 29.9 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 55 | 3.1 | 15.7 | 14.3 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 4.72 | 25.4 | 21.4 |
| Ryan Pegg | - | 17 | 12.9 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 6 | 0.4 | 7.6 | 39.6 | 26.3 | 70.6 | -1.35 | 49.6 | 44.8 |
| Alex Welch | - | 13 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 30 | 2.7 | 36.6 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 77.8 | 1.48 | 36.8 | 32.2 |
| Andrew Nields | - | 7 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 13 | 2.6 | 147.9 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 73.2 | 68.8 |
| Leo McNabb | - | 5 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -4 | -0.8 | -18.2 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.1 | 60.5 | 57.1 |
| Tim Dunham | - | 13 | 6.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 32 | 2.7 | 49.7 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 0.28 | 38.7 | 41.7 |
| Samuel Alexandre | - | 11 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 27 | 2.5 | 96.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 1.53 | 40.5 | 16.7 |
| Carter Padags | - | 5 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -0.2 | -4 | -1.0 | -23.9 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.38 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Colin Parrish | - | 7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.3 | 13.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.64 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Shane Doyle | - | 5 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 2.2 | 65.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Marc Herasme | - | 1 | 15.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.83 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ben Kipnis | - | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -2.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Taylor Perlmutter | - | 1 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Erik Porch | - | 1 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 36 | 3.3 | 138.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG