Catholic (PR)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1167 (#42) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +17.5 (#135) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.957 (#193) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.966 (#153) | AdjNet +29.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.967 (#153) | AdjNet +28.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.835 (#156) | AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 56.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.827 (#42) | AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 55.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.880 (#76) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.878 (#72) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1279 (#32) | RD 111 | GP 21 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | @ | Randolph-Macon | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Ferrum | W | 58 - 49 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Trinity (TX) | L | 51 - 66 |
| 2015-11-22 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2015-12-02 | vs | Susquehanna | W | 57 - 49 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Moravian | L | 67 - 81 |
| 2015-12-08 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2015-12-11 | @ | Delaware Valley | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Gallaudet | W | 65 - 30 |
| 2015-12-29 | vs | Neumann | W | 71 - 48 |
| 2015-12-30 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Merchant Marine | W | 72 - 53 |
| 2016-01-05 | @ | Elizabethtown | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2016-01-07 | vs | Goucher | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Drew | W | 66 - 47 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Scranton | L | 52 - 70 |
| 2016-01-20 | vs | Juniata | W | 85 - 65 |
| 2016-01-27 | @ | Susquehanna | L | 84 - 85 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | Moravian | W | 85 - 80 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | Elizabethtown | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Drew | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2016-02-10 | @ | Goucher | W | 64 - 51 |
| 2016-02-17 | @ | Juniata | W | 76 - 56 |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Scranton | L | 59 - 84 |
| 2016-02-21 | vs | Merchant Marine | W | 67 - 47 |
| 2016-02-24 | @ | Moravian | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ | Scranton | L | 57 - 78 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.