🐻⬇️🏀

Catawba

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Catawba
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1250 (#32) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1251 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1129 (#49) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +18.5 (#21) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +13.4 (#116) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.677 (#87) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +99.1 More → 1.000 (#3) NetEff +99.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.3 More → 0.823 (#94) AdjNet +13.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.8 More → 0.849 (#79) AdjNet +14.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.6 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.744 (#75) AdjO 83.6 | AdjD 71.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.698 (#73) AdjO 80.4 | AdjD 71.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.792 (#71) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.780 (#74) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 23 More → 1221 (#38) RD 96 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 @ George Mason - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Lander L 68 - 69
2025-11-16 vs USC Aiken W 90 - 52
2025-11-21 vs Columbus St. W 97 - 72
2025-11-22 @ Clayton St. W 96 - 77
2025-12-03 @ Lenoir-Rhyne L 71 - 75
2025-12-06 vs Lincoln Memorial W 77 - 65
2025-12-09 vs Chowan W 71 - 68
2025-12-13 @ Tusculum L 75 - 76
2025-12-17 vs Coker W 91 - 66
2025-12-20 vs Emory & Henry W 91 - 75
2026-01-03 @ Carson-Newman W 80 - 66
2026-01-05 @ Livingstone W 87 - 63
2026-01-07 @ Wingate W 81 - 69
2026-01-10 vs UVA Wise W 72 - 66
2026-01-14 @ Anderson (SC) L 74 - 97
2026-01-17 @ Mars Hill W 67 - 65
2026-01-21 vs Newberry W 82 - 79
2026-01-23 vs Carson-Newman W 71 - 56
2026-01-28 vs Lenoir-Rhyne - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 @ Lincoln Memorial - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Coker - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Tusculum W 93 - 76
2026-02-11 vs Wingate W 72 - 56
2026-02-14 @ Emory & Henry W 78 - 65
2026-02-18 vs Anderson (SC) L 81 - 92
2026-02-21 vs Mars Hill W 105 - 66
2026-02-25 @ Newberry W 76 - 61
2026-02-28 @ UVA Wise W 91 - 69
2026-03-05 vs UVA Wise W 86 - 66
2026-03-06 @ Lenoir-Rhyne W 96 - 89
2026-03-07 @ Anderson (SC) L 75 - 78
2026-03-14 vs Columbus St. L 75 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ibra Athie - 29 23.2 12.3 6.4 1.4 0.8 0.4 1.4 9.9 10.0 - - - - 48.3 33.3 76.5 - 54.2 49.3
Justin Banks - 28 22.3 10.5 5.3 1.3 0.9 2.1 1.7 8.3 10.0 - - - - 47.6 41.5 74.6 - 56.0 52.4
Nick Walker - 23 20.7 9.5 5.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 1.4 6.6 9.3 - - - - 51.0 50.0 78.8 - 58.5 51.3
Carson Daniel - 7 31.6 9.4 3.0 5.3 2.7 0.1 1.9 5.3 13.4 - - - - 59.5 42.1 73.7 - 72.8 70.3
Jordan Simpson - 25 26.7 9.4 4.2 3.0 2.1 0.1 1.1 7.7 10.0 - - - - 41.7 29.6 86.2 - 53.8 47.9
LeVionne Lindsey - 25 23.9 6.8 3.8 2.9 1.8 0.1 1.2 5.2 9.2 - - - - 40.0 27.3 87.3 - 54.2 44.6
Alexander Gray - 20 24.4 6.7 4.3 3.4 2.0 0.1 1.2 5.3 9.9 - - - - 40.6 27.8 84.1 - 53.0 45.3
Jartavious Jackson - 20 24.4 6.7 4.3 3.4 2.0 0.1 1.2 5.3 9.9 - - - - 40.6 27.8 84.1 - 53.0 45.3
Shawn Long - 22 22.8 6.5 4.0 3.0 1.9 0.0 1.2 5.0 9.2 - - - - 40.5 28.9 85.4 - 53.7 45.5
Dermot Lowry - 21 23.3 6.4 4.2 3.2 2.0 0.0 1.1 5.1 9.6 - - - - 41.1 27.8 84.1 - 53.4 45.8
Malachi McCutcheon - 21 23.4 6.4 4.2 3.2 2.0 0.0 1.1 5.0 9.6 - - - - 40.6 27.8 84.8 - 53.5 45.3
Zion McDuffie - 29 11.9 6.3 2.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 1.0 4.4 5.5 - - - - 55.8 22.2 55.9 - 57.9 56.6
Jacob Bryant - 23 21.7 5.8 3.8 3.0 1.8 0.0 1.1 4.9 8.4 - - - - 38.4 25.6 84.1 - 50.6 42.9
Jashaun Hawkins - 26 9.6 5.7 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.8 5.2 2.0 - - - - 35.6 36.6 62.9 - 49.2 46.7
Solomon Tucker - 22 12.3 4.4 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 2.4 5.9 - - - - 54.7 0 66.7 - 61.5 54.7
Chase Daniel - 23 12.3 3.6 1.9 1.9 1.3 0.0 1.0 2.8 4.9 - - - - 44.6 28.1 83.3 - 56.2 51.5
Jalen Hilliard - 16 3.0 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.1 - - - - 52.6 0.0 60.0 - 54.2 52.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG