Carthage
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1170 (#71) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1218 (#41) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1179 (#28) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.8 (#25) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.8 (#276) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.741 (#67) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.731 (#39) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.725 (#40) | AdjNet +8.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.641 (#36) | AdjO 79.1 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.696 (#110) | AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.732 (#170) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.735 (#159) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1236 (#38) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Alma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Maryville (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Mary Washington | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Ripon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Carroll (WI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Olivet | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Edgewood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Elmhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | North Central (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | North Park | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Millikin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Elmhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | North Park | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | North Central (IL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Millikin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 75 - 73 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | L | 88 - 96 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Carroll (WI) | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2026-02-27 | vs | Elmhurst | L | 80 - 82 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.