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Carroll College (MT) Fighting

Season: 2024 2022 2015 2013 2007 2006
Also known as: Carroll College (MT) Fighting Saints
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 941 (#593) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 945 (#536) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 997 (#311) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +8.4 (#413) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -4.9 (#414) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.475 (#350) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.434 (#368) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.444 (#350) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 957 (#258) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-29 @ Utah State Aggies L 63 - 93

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Horvath B. Horvath F 1 20.0 20.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 16.0 209 6.1 7.9 80.0 66.7 100.0 1.2 91.9 90.0
J. Sljivancanin J. Sljivancanin - 1 30.0 18.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 15.0 13.0 - - - 53.3 50.0 50.0 -0.4 56.7 56.7
G. Pedra G. Pedra - 1 18.0 11.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 6.0 - - - 62.5 33.3 0 - 68.8 68.8
G. Long G. Long - 1 26.0 11.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 5.0 - - - 44.4 100.0 66.7 - 53.3 50.0
B. Temple B. Temple - 1 19.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 100.0 - 65.4 58.3
S. Campbell S. Campbell - 1 29.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 -1.0 - - - 37.5 0.0 100.0 - 41.5 37.5
M. Guzelocak M. Guzelocak - 1 18.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 0 0 - 25.0 25.0
N. Thelissen N. Thelissen F 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -23 -1.5 -20.2 100.0 0 0 -0.31 100.0 100.0
J. Lieberg J. Lieberg - 1 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
R. Navarro R. Navarro G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
A. Cook A. Cook G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -192 -6.2 -8.0 - - - -0.07 - -
L. Humphrey L. Humphrey F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. Lang J. Lang G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
T. Wagstaff T. Wagstaff F 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
M. Afework M. Afework - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
I. Okeke I. Okeke - 1 11.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
L. Chan L. Chan - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG