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Carroll (WI)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Carroll (WI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1035 (#171) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1074 (#141) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1005 (#412) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +5.8 (#50) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +0.8 (#335) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.532 (#165) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.522 (#100) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.515 (#99) AdjNet +0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.520 (#96) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 75.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 73.4 More → 0.598 (#218) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 73.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.562 (#347) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.562 (#347) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 1038 (#308) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ WashU - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 vs Beloit - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Wis.-Superior - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Wis.-Platteville - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Wis.-Oshkosh - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ MSOE - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs North Park - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Carthage - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Wis.-Whitewater - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Marian (WI) - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Edgewood - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Ill. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Millikin - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Elmhurst - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Augustana (IL) L 73 - 80
2026-01-21 @ North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Ill. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ North Park - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Wheaton (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Augustana (IL) W 94 - 84
2026-02-11 vs North Central (IL) W 74 - 54
2026-02-14 @ Millikin W 76 - 68
2026-02-18 @ Elmhurst L 69 - 81
2026-02-21 vs Carthage L 67 - 71
2026-02-24 @ Elmhurst L 85 - 95

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Michael McNabb - 25 31.4 21.4 4.2 1.7 1.3 0.2 2.7 14.8 11.2 - - - - 51.5 34.6 79.9 - 61.5 56.5
Lamar Smith - 25 29.1 16.7 7.4 2.8 1.2 0.6 2.6 10.2 15.8 - - - - 60.9 40.0 67.8 - 65.4 62.5
Peyton McKenna - 25 32.2 10.4 2.7 2.2 1.8 0.3 1.6 9.8 6.0 - - - - 36.9 34.5 50.0 - 51.4 51.2
Jacob Naber - 25 27.4 9.5 6.7 1.4 0.7 0.5 1.6 6.5 10.7 - - - - 55.6 0 79.2 - 61.2 55.6
Dennis Estepp - 25 23.9 6.6 3.3 1.6 1.7 0.3 1.4 5.3 6.8 - - - - 44.4 30.9 74.4 - 54.6 50.8
Evan Bland - 20 22.3 6.3 2.1 2.9 1.1 0.1 1.5 6.8 4.3 - - - - 33.8 31.6 53.5 - 41.0 38.2
Lucas Parker - 24 15.9 5.0 2.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 5.2 2.6 - - - - 33.1 34.6 100.0 - 48.3 47.6
Jimmy Tarjan - 19 12.9 2.5 2.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.9 - - - - 44.2 28.6 33.3 - 47.4 48.8
Brendan Beaumont - 2 0.4 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Andrew Hollerich - 7 4.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.3 - - - - 37.5 40.0 50.0 - 51.2 50.0
Cai Joseph - 15 5.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 - - - - 53.8 40.0 0.0 - 59.5 61.5
Greg Smith - 20 6.9 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.1 - - - - 50.0 0 33.3 - 48.6 50.0
Cale Buboltz - 5 3.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.2 - - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Evan Oleson - 12 5.7 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 - - - - 33.3 20.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Gray Dingwall - 2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Matt Leonhard - 4 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Auggie Hoffman - 2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hayden Stebbins - 2 4.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG