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CarolinaU

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019
Also known as: CarolinaU
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 975 (#334) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 900 (#434) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 982 (#489) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -33.2 (#658) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.055 (#562) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -38.6 More → 0.001 (#487) NetEff -38.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -23.0 More → 0.066 (#615) AdjNet -23.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -22.5 More → 0.065 (#614) AdjNet -22.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 46.0 | AdjD 59.6 More → 0.224 (#607) AdjO 46.0 | AdjD 59.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.351 (#576) AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 65.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.097 (#655) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.123 (#649) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 346 | GP 1 More → 848 (#430) RD 346 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-03 @ Livingstone L 41 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ja'Nisha Caldwell - 1 26.0 14.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 17.0 8.0 - - - 35.3 40.0 0 - 41.2 41.2
Jakyiiah Willis - 1 23.0 9.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 4.0 - - - 20.0 25.0 100.0 - 38.3 25.0
Mya Smith - 1 16.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 123 5.6 17.7 25.0 0 100.0 1.24 37.6 25.0
MeiLani Patterson - 1 25.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Kaylan Logan - 1 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -2.0 - - - 20.0 20.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Tynilla Simpkins - 1 20.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 16.7 0.0 0.0 - 14.5 16.7
Angelina Jordan - 1 30.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 13.0 -13.0 17 1.7 43.1 7.7 0.0 0 0.34 7.7 7.7
Samantha Soto - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Janiya Mitchell - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ariel Adderton - 1 14.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Maria Beltran - 1 18.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG