Carnegie Mellon
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 979 (#268) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 993 (#327) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.1 (#374) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.030 (#579) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.259 (#513) | AdjNet -9.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.260 (#518) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.357 (#509) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 79.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.463 (#373) | AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 77.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.446 (#360) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.445 (#358) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 958 (#265) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Mitchell | - | 1 | 36.0 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 72 | 3.8 | 15.4 | 53.8 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 1.17 | 73.5 | 65.4 |
| Logan Murray | - | 1 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -34 | -3.8 | -19.3 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.25 | 69.8 | 64.3 |
| Milan Square | - | 1 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.06 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| Zack Oddo | - | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 65 | 3.4 | 12.8 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Ayden Carter | - | 1 | 15.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.31 | 35.9 | 25.0 |
| Garrison Keeslar | - | 1 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | -11 | -1.2 | -2.0 | 21.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.84 | 24.2 | 21.4 |
| Colin McHale | - | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 42 | 3.0 | 16.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.38 | 29.6 | 0.0 |
| Jacob Hougan | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4 | 2.0 | 28.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.88 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Nic Smith | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -2.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Brent Walker | - | 1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Nate Frascone | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Kim | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Andras Lane | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Elias Lewis | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -25 | -1.6 | -5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Null | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aiden Satterfield | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33 | 5.5 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Kaleb Schaffer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG