Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 917 (#382) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 739 (#565) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 830 (#664) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -44.8 (#420) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -43.6 (#704) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.058 (#662) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.001 (#584) | NetEff -45.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.005 (#685) | AdjNet -45.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.004 (#685) | AdjNet -46.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.060 (#692) | AdjO 48.6 | AdjD 78.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.053 (#719) | AdjO 45.1 | AdjD 76.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.016 (#719) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.019 (#717) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 655 (#557) | RD 111 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Grove City | L | 31 - 84 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Chatham | L | 28 - 92 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Franciscan | L | 42 - 53 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Waynesburg | L | 56 - 81 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 32 - 88 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Trine | L | 21 - 112 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Carnegie Mellon | L | 24 - 94 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Mount Aloysius | L | 54 - 98 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | La Roche | L | 36 - 88 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Hilbert | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Thiel | L | 49 - 65 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 51 - 79 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 72 - 43 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 59 - 90 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | La Roche | L | 51 - 93 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Alfred St. | L | 49 - 61 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 55 - 53 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 38 - 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 90 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Ewig | - | 6 | 33.4 | 14.8 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 5.5 | 11.2 | 8.2 | -14 | -2.0 | -5.3 | 41.8 | 37.5 | 75.0 | 1.16 | 54.9 | 48.5 |
| Lexi Ewig | - | 7 | 33.7 | 11.3 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 13.4 | 6.9 | -17 | -3.4 | -138.8 | 29.8 | 33.3 | 73.9 | 0.3 | 37.9 | 33.0 |
| Courtney Martin | - | 5 | 21.6 | 9.2 | 7.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 10.8 | 5.4 | -32 | -10.7 | -50.0 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 61.5 | -0.66 | 38.5 | 35.2 |
| Emari Stinnette | - | 18 | 23.8 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 9.3 | 4.3 | -79 | -5.3 | -62.4 | 29.9 | 23.9 | 66.7 | 0.27 | 39.3 | 33.2 |
| Alexis Toth | - | 17 | 25.8 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 4.2 | -142 | -10.1 | -74.7 | 32.1 | 17.6 | 39.1 | -1.36 | 34.7 | 33.2 |
| Gia Rosensteel | - | 17 | 28.3 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 12.2 | -1.9 | -105 | -7.5 | -34.5 | 18.8 | 17.2 | 38.1 | 0.07 | 24.7 | 23.9 |
| Audry Clingenpeel | - | 19 | 25.9 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 10.0 | -1.4 | -176 | -11.7 | -72.9 | 19.5 | 16.7 | 69.0 | -1.45 | 27.9 | 24.5 |
| Josie Horne | - | 19 | 31.0 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 6.4 | 6.2 | -168 | -10.5 | -72.6 | 33.1 | 13.0 | 66.7 | 1.11 | 39.1 | 34.3 |
| Jada Drummond | - | 5 | 19.7 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -12 | -4.0 | -14.7 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 78.6 | -0.1 | 30.5 | 16.0 |
| Liberty Picarelli | - | 18 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 0.6 | -83 | -5.5 | -55.2 | 23.7 | 26.8 | 66.7 | -2.07 | 36.6 | 33.1 |
| Maddie Finley | - | 8 | 14.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 4.0 | -1.6 | -115 | -23.0 | -232.5 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 0.1 | 15.5 | 9.4 |
| Libby Michalski | - | 19 | 13.7 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | -126 | -8.4 | -86.7 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 38.5 | 36.8 |
| Mya Waage | - | 5 | 9.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Julia Ogrodowski | - | 13 | 8.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | -0.2 | -79 | -7.2 | -148.5 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.2 | 11.2 | 5.9 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG