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Carlow University Celtics

Season: 2022
Also known as: Carlow University Celtics
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 921 (#630) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 901 (#666) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 989 (#462) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -54.1 (#1002) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -52.6 (#652) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.278 (#643) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 75.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.027 (#651) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.052 (#651) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 3 More → 841 (#571) RD 350 | GP 3

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ VMI Keydets L 55 - 111
2021-11-10 @ James Madison Dukes L 40 - 135
2021-12-21 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 50 - 129

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Millien M. Millien - 2 27.0 17.0 5.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 23.0 - - - 0 0 0 -1.61 0 0
J. Willis J. Willis - 2 7.0 5.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Brazil N. Brazil G 2 20.0 4.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.77 0 0
R. Comforti R. Comforti G 2 19.0 3.5 3.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 3.0 0.0 6.5 - - - 0 0 0 -1.25 0 0
A. Gangji A. Gangji - 2 6.5 3.0 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
E. Truong E. Truong - 2 15.5 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
D. Matthew D. Matthew - 2 8.5 2.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.5 0 0
D. Clary D. Clary F 2 13.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 3.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
L. Santo L. Santo - 2 10.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.82 0 0
M. Barrett M. Barrett - 2 13.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 -1.16 0 0
T. Roscoe T. Roscoe - 2 8.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Randall M. Randall - 2 14.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 -1.13 0 0
A. Sharp A. Sharp G 2 20.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 3.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - 0 0 0 -1.17 0 0
H. DeStefano H. DeStefano F 2 9.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.47 0 0
N. O'Savage N. O'Savage G 2 8.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.71 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG