Capital
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 910 (#516) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 925 (#461) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 897 (#679) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.4 (#212) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.9 (#433) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.378 (#544) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.981 (#5) | NetEff +30.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.373 (#412) | AdjNet -4.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.366 (#410) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.421 (#415) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.477 (#463) | AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 80.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.396 (#491) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.398 (#496) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 910 (#469) | RD 97 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | @ | Cleveland St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Earlham | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Kenyon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Adrian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Denison | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Wittenberg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Muskingum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Marietta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ohio Northern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Alma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Franciscan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Wilmington (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Otterbein | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Mount Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Heidelberg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Marietta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wilmington (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Ohio Northern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Muskingum | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Se'Ron Calloway-White | - | 21 | 28.2 | 17.5 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 12.3 | 11.5 | 36 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 52.7 | 34.7 | 74.5 | 2.21 | 61.3 | 57.6 |
| McKane Finkenbine | - | 22 | 32.0 | 13.6 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 11.1 | 8.0 | 20 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 43.4 | 34.0 | 80.0 | 2.0 | 56.4 | 53.3 |
| Dallas Tucker | - | 21 | 26.7 | 11.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 8.6 | 24 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 53.8 | 41.5 | 77.8 | 2.31 | 65.0 | 60.9 |
| Julian Mitchell | - | 20 | 29.4 | 10.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 7.8 | 6.3 | -42 | -2.1 | -8.6 | 42.3 | 35.6 | 93.5 | -3.58 | 59.9 | 53.8 |
| Chris Mitchell | - | 22 | 26.7 | 9.9 | 9.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.6 | 12.5 | -15 | -0.7 | -3.7 | 50.5 | 30.0 | 54.8 | 0.54 | 53.5 | 52.9 |
| Cade Davies | - | 22 | 17.1 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 4.7 | -77 | -3.5 | -28.6 | 47.6 | 31.1 | 80.5 | -1.42 | 59.9 | 54.4 |
| Brody Gowen | - | 13 | 16.2 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 8.9 | 41 | 3.2 | 12.2 | 60.5 | 0 | 68.0 | 1.77 | 66.7 | 60.5 |
| Torrien Perkins | - | 10 | 18.3 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 2.2 | -56 | -5.1 | -56.1 | 31.9 | 21.4 | 69.2 | -2.56 | 39.2 | 36.1 |
| Kamran Ensley | - | 19 | 16.6 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | -24 | -1.3 | -14.5 | 45.6 | 28.6 | 70.4 | -2.84 | 53.0 | 47.4 |
| Tristyn Ambrose-Pearce | - | 21 | 8.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | -47 | -2.2 | -42.7 | 50.0 | 12.5 | 0.0 | -2.14 | 50.2 | 51.4 |
| Sean Spicer | - | 7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 0.8 | 82.8 | 80.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Logan Woloshan | - | 15 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | -34 | -2.4 | -275.7 | 25.0 | 26.7 | 0 | -0.71 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Amani Dickerson | - | 4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Deron Jennings | - | 7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | -0.1 | 4 | 0.8 | 82.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Colton Bruny | - | 9 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -16 | -2.3 | -138.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.43 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG