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Calvary

Season: 2026 2025 2023 2017 2016
Also known as: Calvary
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 981 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 866 (#477) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 963 (#456) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -27.7 (#563) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#753) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -45.7 More → 0.005 (#758) AdjNet -45.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -45.0 More → 0.004 (#759) AdjNet -45.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 86.7 More → 0.058 (#742) AdjO 56.0 | AdjD 86.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 76.5 More → 0.255 (#560) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 76.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.107 (#578) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.123 (#579) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 306 | GP 3 More → 833 (#427) RD 306 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-19 @ Truman St. L 46 - 84
2025-11-24 @ Southwest Baptist L 43 - 88
2025-12-08 @ Rockhurst L 40 - 96

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nathan Ulrichs - 3 29.0 9.0 5.0 0.3 2.3 1.3 2.0 13.0 3.0 - - - 25.6 16.7 66.7 - 31.4 26.9
Thomas Barnett - 3 19.0 5.3 3.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 5.3 2.7 - - - 37.5 0.0 66.7 - 42.9 37.5
Landen Schneiderwind - 3 11.5 5.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.0 1.0 - - - 46.7 0.0 25.0 - 44.7 46.7
Matthew Flores - 3 23.6 4.3 1.3 1.7 2.7 0.0 4.3 6.0 -0.3 -87 -7.2 -197.9 27.8 14.3 33.3 0.7 31.5 30.6
Joshua Goode - 2 23.6 3.5 4.5 0.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 6.5 3.5 5 0.4 28.6 15.4 22.2 50.0 0.16 25.2 23.1
Joey Ross - 3 13.3 3.0 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 3.3 1.3 -25 -8.3 -21.7 40.0 0 50.0 -0.17 41.4 40.0
Landon Hostetler - 2 17.7 2.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.5 -1.5 - - - 15.4 16.7 0 - 19.2 19.2
Lukas Most - 2 12.6 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 100.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Matthew Hammonds - 3 21.7 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 3.3 4.3 0.7 - - - 23.1 0.0 0 - 23.1 23.1
Samuel Entz - 3 10.0 0.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.3 0.7 - - - 14.3 0.0 0 - 14.3 14.3
Jaylon Armstrong - 1 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jayden Hart-Perkins - 2 23.5 0.0 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG