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Calvary Warriors

Season: 2025 2022
Also known as: Calvary Warriors
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 921 (#633) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 884 (#693) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 997 (#305) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -59.4 (#1004) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -26.9 (#618) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.431 (#516) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.098 (#628) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.137 (#629) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 912 (#429) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-04 @ Kansas City Roos L 32 - 94

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Demetrius White-Thomas Demetrius White-Thomas G 1 13.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jamal Smith Jamal Smith G 1 21.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 -61 -3.2 -9.6 0 0 0 1.71 0 0
Stephen Jones Stephen Jones SG 1 12.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 60 1.9 2.9 0 0 0 1.73 0 0
Z. Kirkman Z. Kirkman - 1 21.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Joseph Morrow Joseph Morrow G 1 20.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
I. Maxwell I. Maxwell - 1 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cedric Maxwell Cedric Maxwell PG 1 15.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Welling T. Welling - 1 17.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
P. Brandel P. Brandel - 1 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Coleson Voran Coleson Voran G 1 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Noah Derdieran Noah Derdieran ATH 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Fields B. Fields - 1 15.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Eric Larkins Eric Larkins PG 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jonah Murr Jonah Murr SG 1 24.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG