California
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 988 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 941 (#569) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#156) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.5 (#357) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.578 (#330) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.738 (#304) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.747 (#304) | AdjNet +9.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.638 (#295) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.465 (#437) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.445 (#407) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.449 (#396) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 960 (#299) | RD 101 | GP 25 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-11 | @ | Notre Dame (OH) | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2016-11-12 | @ | West Liberty | W | 92 - 50 |
| 2016-11-16 | @ | West Virginia St. | W | 114 - 83 |
| 2016-11-19 | @ | Kutztown | - | Preview |
| 2016-11-20 | @ | Mansfield | W | 73 - 37 |
| 2016-11-22 | vs | Ohio Dominican | W | 93 - 69 |
| 2016-11-27 | @ | Ursuline | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Cheyney | W | 83 - 30 |
| 2016-12-04 | vs | Millersville | W | 86 - 60 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 78 - 56 |
| 2016-12-18 | @ | Bloomsburg | W | 80 - 45 |
| 2016-12-30 | @ | Edinboro | L | 54 - 71 |
| 2017-01-03 | @ | Gannon | W | 87 - 56 |
| 2017-01-06 | @ | West Chester | W | 107 - 73 |
| 2017-01-09 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 96 - 65 |
| 2017-01-11 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 78 - 57 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Seton Hill | W | 83 - 68 |
| 2017-01-18 | @ | Indiana (PA) | W | 79 - 52 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Mercyhurst | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | Clarion | W | 72 - 38 |
| 2017-01-28 | vs | Edinboro | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 79 - 55 |
| 2017-02-08 | vs | Gannon | W | 88 - 68 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Seton Hill | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2017-02-15 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 88 - 58 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Clarion | W | 79 - 54 |
| 2017-02-22 | @ | Mercyhurst | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2017-02-25 | vs | Indiana (PA) | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2017-03-01 | vs | Edinboro | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2017-03-04 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2017-03-05 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2017-03-10 | vs | Glenville St. | W | 88 - 86 |
| 2017-03-11 | vs | Mercyhurst | W | 86 - 75 |
| 2017-03-13 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 69 - 85 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.