California
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 988 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 941 (#569) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.4 (#156) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.5 (#357) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.578 (#330) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.738 (#304) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.747 (#304) | AdjNet +9.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.638 (#295) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.465 (#437) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.445 (#407) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.449 (#396) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 960 (#299) | RD 101 | GP 25 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-14 | @ | Notre Dame (OH) | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-15 | @ | West Liberty | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-18 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | Lock Haven | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-22 | vs | Bloomsburg | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-01 | vs | Clarion | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-04 | @ | Cheyney | W | 88 - 62 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Millersville | W | 57 - 52 |
| 2015-12-13 | vs | Shepherd | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2015-12-16 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 72 - 78 |
| 2016-01-03 | @ | East Stroudsburg | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-06 | vs | West Chester | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Seton Hill | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-13 | vs | Gannon | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Slippery Rock | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-20 | @ | Edinboro | L | 54 - 73 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Mercyhurst | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-27 | vs | Indiana (PA) | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Clarion | W | 77 - 57 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | W | 84 - 66 |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | Davis & Elkins | W | 101 - 58 |
| 2016-02-10 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 70 - 45 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ | Seton Hill | W | 76 - 46 |
| 2016-02-17 | @ | Gannon | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Mercyhurst | W | 65 - 51 |
| 2016-02-24 | vs | Edinboro | - | Preview |
| 2016-03-01 | vs | Edinboro | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2016-03-05 | vs | Shippensburg | - | Preview |
| 2016-03-06 | vs | Indiana (PA) | W | 62 - 52 |
| 2016-03-11 | vs | Chowan | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2016-03-12 | vs | West Liberty | L | 62 - 68 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.