California
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 941 (#569) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.5 (#357) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.578 (#330) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.738 (#304) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.747 (#304) | AdjNet +9.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.638 (#295) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.465 (#437) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 65.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.445 (#407) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.449 (#397) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 960 (#290) | RD 101 | GP 25 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Minnesota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Wheeling | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | West Liberty | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Fairmont St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | West Chester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Bloomsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Robert Morris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Shippensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Lock Haven | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Mansfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Kutztown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Gannon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Clarion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Edinboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Slippery Rock | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Indiana (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Gannon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | Seton Hill | L | 87 - 111 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Clarion | W | 101 - 94 |
| 2026-02-18 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 57 - 73 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Edinboro | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2026-02-25 | vs | Indiana (PA) | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 91 - 64 |
| 2026-03-02 | @ | Edinboro | L | 64 - 85 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Bankett | - | 28 | 30.4 | 15.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 10.2 | 8.6 | -99 | -4.3 | -14.5 | 54.4 | 28.6 | 81.0 | 1.12 | 62.8 | 57.1 |
| Alicia Young | - | 18 | 31.2 | 13.6 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 15 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 40.2 | 28.2 | 51.9 | 0.22 | 43.7 | 42.4 |
| Hope Hawkins | - | 29 | 24.2 | 11.1 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 9.7 | 7.7 | 23 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 49.5 | 0 | 55.6 | 3.65 | 51.0 | 49.5 |
| Trinity Balog | - | 29 | 28.0 | 10.8 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 9.1 | 5.3 | -36 | -1.5 | -5.3 | 37.4 | 34.2 | 82.6 | 0.1 | 51.1 | 44.5 |
| Kimaya Williams | - | 29 | 36.2 | 7.4 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 7.1 | 13.5 | -44 | -1.8 | -6.2 | 43.2 | 30.0 | 52.5 | 0.1 | 46.3 | 44.7 |
| Jalasia Hull | - | 23 | 20.3 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 4.3 | -143 | -8.4 | -38.2 | 48.4 | 30.0 | 61.4 | -5.04 | 53.4 | 50.8 |
| Macy Sardone | - | 29 | 21.1 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.9 | 3.5 | -48 | -2.0 | -15.5 | 39.7 | 35.4 | 78.6 | -1.48 | 53.2 | 50.0 |
| Mya Morgan | - | 20 | 17.6 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 1.8 | -43 | -2.9 | -43.2 | 30.7 | 24.6 | 66.7 | -3.28 | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| Nina Shaw | - | 11 | 17.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | -9 | -0.8 | -4.6 | 27.3 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.36 | 32.8 | 31.8 |
| Alayla Bivins | - | 16 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.9 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.53 | 46.0 | 38.9 |
| Fanta Minteh | - | 7 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.91 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| CJ Sabo | - | 8 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.9 | 48.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 1.13 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Skylar Still | - | 6 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 10 | 2.0 | 127.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 54.3 | 100.0 |
| Yamilex Rodriguez | - | 10 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | -0.3 | -27 | -3.4 | -59.8 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -4.26 | 29.1 | 16.7 |
| Angel Henry | - | 7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | -0.1 | -8 | -2.0 | -19.7 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Alivia Huffman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG