🐻⬇️🏀

California

Also known as: California
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 941 (#569) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +0.5 (#357) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.578 (#330) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.0 More → 0.738 (#304) AdjNet +9.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.747 (#304) AdjNet +9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.4 More → 0.638 (#295) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 62.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.465 (#437) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.445 (#407) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.449 (#397) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 25 More → 960 (#290) RD 101 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Northern Mich. - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 vs Minnesota St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 @ Ferris St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Wheeling - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ West Liberty - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Fairmont St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Wilmington (DE) - Incomplete score
2025-11-23 @ West Chester - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 vs Ashland - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Bloomsburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Robert Morris - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs Shippensburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Lock Haven - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 @ Mansfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 vs East Stroudsburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Kutztown - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Gannon - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Clarion - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Edinboro - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Slippery Rock - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Indiana (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Pitt.-Johnstown - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Gannon - Incomplete score
2026-02-11 @ Seton Hill L 87 - 111
2026-02-14 vs Clarion W 101 - 94
2026-02-18 @ Pitt.-Johnstown L 57 - 73
2026-02-21 @ Edinboro L 64 - 71
2026-02-25 vs Indiana (PA) W 74 - 69
2026-02-28 vs Slippery Rock W 91 - 64
2026-03-02 @ Edinboro L 64 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kennedy Bankett - 28 30.4 15.4 3.2 1.2 1.6 0.4 2.9 10.2 8.6 -99 -4.3 -14.5 54.4 28.6 81.0 1.12 62.8 57.1
Alicia Young - 18 31.2 13.6 4.6 0.9 2.5 0.5 2.9 14.2 4.9 15 0.7 3.7 40.2 28.2 51.9 0.22 43.7 42.4
Hope Hawkins - 29 24.2 11.1 6.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 2.3 9.7 7.7 23 1.0 3.8 49.5 0 55.6 3.65 51.0 49.5
Trinity Balog - 29 28.0 10.8 2.6 3.0 0.9 0.1 2.9 9.1 5.3 -36 -1.5 -5.3 37.4 34.2 82.6 0.1 51.1 44.5
Kimaya Williams - 29 36.2 7.4 9.2 4.0 2.2 0.6 2.8 7.1 13.5 -44 -1.8 -6.2 43.2 30.0 52.5 0.1 46.3 44.7
Jalasia Hull - 23 20.3 6.6 2.5 0.7 1.1 0.3 1.6 5.3 4.3 -143 -8.4 -38.2 48.4 30.0 61.4 -5.04 53.4 50.8
Macy Sardone - 29 21.1 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.6 4.9 3.5 -48 -2.0 -15.5 39.7 35.4 78.6 -1.48 53.2 50.0
Mya Morgan - 20 17.6 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.9 5.0 1.8 -43 -2.9 -43.2 30.7 24.6 66.7 -3.28 39.6 38.6
Nina Shaw - 11 17.3 1.4 1.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 2.3 2.0 1.4 -9 -0.8 -4.6 27.3 40.0 50.0 0.36 32.8 31.8
Alayla Bivins - 16 5.7 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.5 1.1 0.4 0 0.0 0.0 38.9 0 83.3 0.53 46.0 38.9
Fanta Minteh - 7 3.9 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 0.91 40.0 40.0
CJ Sabo - 8 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.0 6 0.9 48.2 33.3 0 0 1.13 33.3 33.3
Skylar Still - 6 2.3 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.5 10 2.0 127.0 100.0 0 25.0 - 54.3 100.0
Yamilex Rodriguez - 10 4.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.6 -0.3 -27 -3.4 -59.8 16.7 0.0 100.0 -4.26 29.1 16.7
Angel Henry - 7 3.7 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 -0.1 -8 -2.0 -19.7 16.7 0.0 0 - 16.7 16.7
Alivia Huffman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG