California Golden
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1287 (#31) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1218 (#38) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1074 (#66) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.6 (#40) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.3 (#32) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.661 (#79) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.863 (#45) | AdjNet +16.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.865 (#45) | AdjNet +16.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.704 (#45) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 63.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.619 (#60) | AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 65.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.759 (#44) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.744 (#48) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1194 (#49) | RD 109 | GP 31 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-23 | @ | New Mexico | W | 76 - 68 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | Cleveland State | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2002-12-03 | vs | Howard | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2002-12-07 | N | Georgia | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2002-12-10 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2002-12-20 | vs | Grambling | W | 84 - 65 |
| 2002-12-21 | vs | Louisiana | W | 77 - 61 |
| 2002-12-28 | N | Kansas | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | San Francisco | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Stanford | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2003-01-09 | vs | Oregon | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Oregon State | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2003-01-16 | @ | Washington | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Washington State | W | 76 - 63 |
| 2003-01-23 | vs | Southern California | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | UCLA | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2003-01-30 | @ | Arizona State | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | Arizona | L | 80 - 95 |
| 2003-02-06 | @ | Oregon State | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Oregon | W | 86 - 75 |
| 2003-02-13 | vs | Washington State | W | 63 - 53 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Washington | W | 58 - 53 |
| 2003-02-20 | @ | UCLA | L | 75 - 76 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Southern California | W | 84 - 82 |
| 2003-02-27 | vs | Arizona | L | 75 - 88 |
| 2003-03-02 | vs | Arizona State | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Stanford | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2003-03-13 | N | Oregon State | W | 69 - 46 |
| 2003-03-14 | N | Southern California | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2003-03-20 | N | NC State | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2003-03-22 | N | Oklahoma | L | 65 - 74 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.