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California Merced Bobcats

Season: 2026 2024 2022 2013 2012
Also known as: California Merced Bobcats
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 996 (#330) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -3.2 (#539) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -17.7 (#550) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 69.6 More → 0.450 (#464) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.188 (#552) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.227 (#554) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 917 (#409) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-04 @ UC Davis Aggies L 40 - 81

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Westlake M. Westlake - 1 28.0 11.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B.J. Shaw B.J. Shaw G 1 12.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. McGill C. McGill F 1 19.0 9.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 -9 -0.5 -2.1 0 0 0 -0.31 0 0
Z. Phipps Z. Phipps - 1 25.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Fears T. Fears - 1 21.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Martin D. Martin - 1 20.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
A. Murphy A. Murphy F 1 14.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 -3 -0.1 -0.4 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0
R. Agbabune R. Agbabune - 1 14.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Benson R. Benson - 1 19.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
O. Sidhu O. Sidhu - 1 23.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Nze G. Nze - 1 14.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Ajiake J. Ajiake - 1 9.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Ba C. Ba G 1 12.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -53 -4.4 -12.6 0 0 0 -0.99 0 0
M. Wells M. Wells - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.44 0 0
M. Haynes M. Haynes - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Mertle J. Mertle - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Gilbert C. Gilbert - 1 17.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG