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California Baptist Lancers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2011 2010
Also known as: California Baptist Lancers
Program History
Coach: Rick Croy

2022 Team Stats (4 games)

62.5
PPG
67.7
Opp
+4.1
Margin
39.3%
FG%
29.5%
3P%
67.7%
FT%
31.5
RPG
13.0
APG
15.0
TO
79.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1207 (#124) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1169 (#179) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1010 (#170) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +22.1 (#183) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +8.1 (#232) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -17.4 More → 0.113 (#268) NetEff -17.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.522 (#208) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 67.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.681 (#207) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.648 (#206) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 29 More → 1044 (#190) RD 136 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs San Francisco State Gators W 87 - 65
2021-11-16 vs Jackson State Tigers W 77 - 64
2021-11-21 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 74 - 70
2021-11-27 vs San Diego Christian Hawks W 85 - 38
2021-12-02 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 64 - 55
2021-12-07 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 89 - 71
2021-12-12 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 54 - 70
2021-12-18 @ Arizona Wildcats L 60 - 84
2021-12-21 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 84 - 68
2021-12-28 vs La Verne Leopards W 96 - 41
2022-01-12 vs Utah Tech Trailblazers L 76 - 79
2022-01-15 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 75 - 73
2022-01-17 vs Seattle U Redhawks L 85 - 92
2022-01-20 @ Tarleton Texans W 88 - 84
2022-01-22 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 68 - 77
2022-01-26 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 68 - 73
2022-01-29 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 77 - 81
2022-02-03 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 57 - 68
2022-02-05 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 50 - 56
2022-02-10 vs Lamar Cardinals W 83 - 61
2022-02-12 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 80 - 72
2022-02-16 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 60 - 65
2022-02-19 @ Seattle U Redhawks L 64 - 67
2022-02-24 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers W 71 - 61
2022-02-26 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 54 - 63
2022-03-02 vs Chicago State Cougars W 62 - 53
2022-03-05 @ Lamar Cardinals W 78 - 66
2022-03-08 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 81 - 80
2022-03-09 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 35 - 65

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Mason C. Mason G 1 33.0 14.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 18.0 205 5.9 9.1 0 0 0 1.49 0 0
T. Taylor T. Taylor - 1 34.0 12.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 23.0 -72 -2.7 -3.6 0 0 0 0.32 0 0
Tre Armstrong Tre Armstrong - 29 32.3 11.7 4.2 1.7 0.9 0.0 1.1 2.0 15.3 102 3.9 5.0 32.8 18.8 60.0 1.38 281.6 37.9
D. Akin D. Akin - 19 27.1 11.1 8.1 1.6 1.1 1.4 2.5 0.2 20.6 76 2.2 3.3 33.3 0 0 0.6 3500.0 33.3
Ty Rowell Ty Rowell G 20 36.0 11.1 2.9 2.8 0.8 0.1 2.4 1.4 13.9 - - - 39.3 52.9 87.5 -0.12 352.2 55.4
Ta. Armstrong Ta. Armstrong - 21 33.0 11.0 5.1 6.3 0.8 0.4 3.3 1.8 18.5 102 3.9 5.0 48.6 40.0 63.2 1.38 254.6 54.1
M. Morris M. Morris G 1 22.0 10.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 173 4.8 8.1 0 0 0 0.19 0 0
T. Farrer T. Farrer - 2 22.5 9.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 18.0 38 1.7 6.5 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
R. Miller R. Miller G 1 22.0 9.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 -101 -3.5 -4.5 0 0 0 1.71 0 0
R. Nottage R. Nottage - 23 26.9 9.0 3.8 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.3 2.0 12.1 18 0.6 1.0 34.8 25.8 85.7 0.08 211.9 43.5
K. Colvin K. Colvin F 1 28.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 -78 -3.2 -6.1 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
K. Karwowski K. Karwowski C 1 13.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 35 1.1 4.4 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
C. Hunter C. Hunter - 11 19.1 6.9 4.0 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.6 2.3 8.7 -140 -4.7 -5.9 40.0 25.0 0.0 0.9 146.8 46.0
E. Thomas E. Thomas G 15 19.8 6.2 3.3 1.2 0.5 0.3 1.5 1.0 9.0 65 1.9 4.1 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.99 301.2 33.3
Juhlawnei Stone Juhlawnei Stone - 17 10.5 6.1 2.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 8.6 21 0.8 3.0 76.9 0 20.0 0.58 338.8 76.9
Jarren Cook Jarren Cook - 1 16.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 40 1.2 3.6 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
A. McCord A. McCord F 2 16.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 79 3.2 11.4 0 0 0 0.9 0 0
B. Howard B. Howard F 1 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 -22 -1.8 -5.7 0 0 0 0.07 0 0
T. Sawyer T. Sawyer F 11 6.5 3.5 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.8 4.5 50 3.1 17.6 44.4 16.7 100.0 0.42 197.4 50.0
Y. Ouedraogo Y. Ouedraogo - 2 26.0 3.5 8.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 3.0 0.0 9.5 128 4.1 8.2 0 0 0 0.26 0 0
J. Grant J. Grant G 1 7.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 91 3.1 12.7 0 0 0 0.85 0 0
Tyree Campbell Tyree Campbell G 18 10.6 2.4 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.1 49 2.0 8.3 0 0 0 0.54 0 0
A. Kennedy A. Kennedy F 1 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -8 -0.9 -3.5 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
T. Kund T. Kund G 3 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 10 0.8 12.6 0.0 0.0 66.7 0.04 75.3 0.0
C. Leifson C. Leifson G 2 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 26 1.7 13.4 0 0 0 0.31 0 0
D. Willis D. Willis G 1 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 70 2.9 13.1 0 0 0 0.86 0 0
D. Lampley D. Lampley G 1 26.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 180 5.5 8.0 0 0 0 1.06 0 0
M. Wade M. Wade - 14 5.8 0.9 1.9 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.3 2.7 -19 -1.2 -7.5 0.0 0 0 -0.13 162.5 0.0
F. Dybala F. Dybala - 6 3.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 0.47 100.0 0.0
S. Washington S. Washington G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Brantly Stevenson Brantly Stevenson G 1 21.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 -104 -4.2 -5.7 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
S. Smith S. Smith G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 131 4.2 9.7 0 0 0 1.38 0 0
A. Ruiz Ortiz A. Ruiz Ortiz G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG