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Caldwell

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Caldwell
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1074 (#100) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1035 (#219) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1149 (#39) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.9 (#183) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +5.9 (#270) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.569 (#333) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.0 More → 0.862 (#157) NetEff +13.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.6 More → 0.248 (#493) AdjNet -9.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.4 More → 0.249 (#494) AdjNet -9.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.374 (#483) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 68.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 58.0 More → 0.671 (#102) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 58.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.685 (#193) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.699 (#173) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 23 More → 1139 (#84) RD 97 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Adelphi L 62 - 73
2025-11-15 @ Pace W 49 - 36
2025-11-19 vs Queens (NY) W 78 - 50
2025-11-22 vs Molloy W 63 - 32
2025-11-25 vs Goldey-Beacom W 72 - 57
2025-11-30 @ St. Thomas Aquinas W 51 - 48
2025-12-03 @ Felician L 42 - 60
2025-12-06 @ Georgian Court L 81 - 86
2025-12-09 vs Dominican (NY) W 82 - 60
2025-12-13 vs Franklin Pierce W 54 - 38
2025-12-19 vs Wilmington (DE) W 79 - 47
2025-12-21 vs Saint Michael's W 67 - 47
2026-01-03 @ Holy Family L 61 - 69
2026-01-10 vs Jefferson L 61 - 69
2026-01-14 @ Post L 42 - 55
2026-01-17 vs Chestnut Hill W 82 - 51
2026-01-20 @ Staten Island W 67 - 64
2026-01-24 @ Goldey-Beacom W 86 - 48
2026-01-28 vs Felician W 62 - 52
2026-01-31 vs Georgian Court W 76 - 61
2026-02-03 @ Dominican (NY) W 74 - 47
2026-02-07 @ Wilmington (DE) W 90 - 66

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lucy Coogan - 22 34.7 16.9 7.3 2.7 0.9 0.9 3.5 13.6 11.5 37 2.2 9.4 39.7 40.0 87.4 -0.09 54.3 48.0
Jah'Nel Lewis - 22 34.2 16.7 5.4 3.2 2.4 0.2 3.5 14.2 10.2 53 3.1 12.8 35.6 31.0 71.4 1.16 48.5 41.3
Neysa Aguilar - 22 31.9 11.8 2.5 1.6 1.3 0.1 1.5 9.9 6.0 30 1.9 10.3 42.4 32.9 63.2 1.11 51.7 48.6
Harmony Earth-Wiley - 20 25.5 6.5 6.5 1.6 1.5 1.1 2.6 5.2 9.4 23 1.5 17.7 52.4 25.0 66.7 -0.48 55.7 52.9
Brooke Corbett - 22 29.8 5.0 6.3 2.7 3.0 0.6 1.5 5.0 11.1 -17 -1.0 -6.0 38.2 50.0 51.0 -0.64 41.8 38.6
Sofia Maldonado - 21 17.7 3.4 3.3 0.8 1.1 0.1 0.7 2.4 5.7 48 3.0 20.9 51.0 0.0 57.6 0.67 54.2 51.0
Shauntia Alexander - 17 7.5 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.3 1.6 37 3.1 28.7 48.7 0 58.3 3.29 50.8 48.7
Jessaiah Reynoso - 19 7.3 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.1 2.6 -0.1 21 1.4 12.4 28.6 35.7 68.8 -0.87 39.3 33.7
Marissa Sorvillo - 9 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.8 -2 -0.4 -9.2 40.0 28.6 75.0 -0.84 55.3 50.0
Shayne Eldridge - 18 5.8 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.2 0.1 -14 -1.2 -25.7 22.5 13.0 100.0 -0.57 29.9 26.2
Jaylyn Orefice - 12 4.6 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.7 -6 -0.8 -9.2 46.7 33.3 25.0 -1.6 47.7 50.0
Nia Clemons - 9 5.7 1.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.3 24 2.7 27.3 45.5 0 40.0 -1.03 45.5 45.5
Emily Piper - 8 2.9 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.8 1.0 -12 -2.4 -79.1 50.0 0 0.0 -1.13 43.6 50.0
Ashley Chio - 14 7.7 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 11 1.2 9.2 23.5 0.0 100.0 -0.27 28.0 23.5
Mariah Luke - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gules Esposito - 4 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG