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Cal State San Marcos Cougars

Season: 2013 2012
Also known as: Cal State San Marcos Cougars
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 923 (#812) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 954 (#720) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 985 (#434) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +16.8 (#306) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -2.0 (#346) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.472 (#350) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 67.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.441 (#326) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.439 (#320) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 326 | GP 2 More → 829 (#525) RD 326 | GP 2

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-12-21 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 74 - 84
2013-02-09 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 71 - 82

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Redmon D. Redmon - 2 25.0 14.0 3.0 3.5 1.5 0.0 4.0 0.0 18.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
A. Eakles A. Eakles F 2 27.0 13.0 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 20.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.31 0 0
J. Ranger J. Ranger G 1 25.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.02 0 0
B. Emanuel B. Emanuel G 1 14.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG