Cal State Northridge
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1115 (#103) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1124 (#84) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1081 (#69) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.1 (#99) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.8 (#74) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.635 (#93) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.667 (#109) | AdjNet +6.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.668 (#109) | AdjNet +6.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.600 (#101) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.603 (#73) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 68.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.653 (#89) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.654 (#85) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1096 (#102) | RD 126 | GP 29 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Southern California | L | 59 - 73 |
| 1999-11-30 | @ | Fresno State | W | 69 - 66 |
| 1999-12-04 | @ | Cal Poly | L | 88 - 97 |
| 1999-12-06 | vs | Oral Roberts | W | 72 - 59 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Oregon | W | 79 - 77 |
| 1999-12-20 | @ | Oral Roberts | W | 76 - 74 |
| 1999-12-22 | @ | UTEP | L | 82 - 93 |
| 1999-12-28 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 88 - 79 |
| 1999-12-30 | vs | San Jose State | W | 71 - 53 |
| 2000-01-02 | vs | Cal Poly | W | 94 - 86 |
| 2000-01-06 | vs | Northern Arizona | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2000-01-08 | @ | Idaho State | W | 101 - 86 |
| 2000-01-13 | @ | Portland State | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Eastern Washington | L | 77 - 78 |
| 2000-01-20 | vs | Montana State | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2000-01-22 | vs | Montana | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2000-01-27 | @ | Sacramento State | W | 76 - 57 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Weber State | L | 92 - 113 |
| 2000-02-03 | vs | Idaho State | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Northern Arizona | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2000-02-17 | @ | Montana | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Montana State | W | 86 - 62 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Eastern Washington | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Portland State | W | 79 - 78 |
| 2000-03-02 | vs | Weber State | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2000-03-04 | vs | Sacramento State | W | 81 - 57 |
| 2000-03-09 | N | Weber State | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2000-03-10 | @ | Montana | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2000-03-11 | N | Northern Arizona | L | 81 - 85 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.