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Cal State Northridge

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Program History
Coach: Andy Newman

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

81.5
PPG
79.2
Opp
+2.3
Margin
45.3%
FG%
31.9%
3P%
66.3%
FT%
42.0
RPG
16.8
APG
13.3
TO
88.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1082 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1069 (#114) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → 1052 (#97) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → -1.2 (#180) -
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → -1.6 (#199) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.496 (#182) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → 0.473 (#181) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → 0.486 (#191) -
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → 1051 (#134) -

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Nobel Knights W 99 - 58
2025-11-06 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 57 - 86
2025-11-09 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 93 - 85
2025-11-11 @ North Dakota State Bison L 68 - 90
2025-11-16 vs Troy Trojans W 94 - 85
2025-11-26 vs Idaho Vandals L 64 - 78
2025-11-28 @ Idaho State Bengals L 50 - 82
2025-12-04 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 87 - 66
2025-12-13 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 88 - 66
2025-12-19 vs La Sierra Golden Eagles W 88 - 53
2025-12-22 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 100 - 88
2025-12-27 @ Stanford Cardinal L 80 - 88
2026-01-01 @ UC Davis Aggies L 80 - 89
2026-01-03 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 74 - 65
2026-01-08 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 95 - 90
2026-01-10 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 79 - 86
2026-01-15 @ UC San Diego Tritons W 84 - 79
2026-01-24 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 68 - 89
2026-01-29 vs UC Davis Aggies W 94 - 78
2026-01-31 vs UC San Diego Tritons W 81 - 64
2026-02-05 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 97 - 96
2026-02-07 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 88 - 74
2026-02-14 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 84 - 60
2026-02-19 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 85 - 83
2026-02-21 @ Long Beach State Beach W 78 - 76
2026-02-26 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 67 - 68
2026-02-28 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 84 - 95
2026-03-05 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 86 - 84
2026-03-07 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 77 - 90
2026-03-12 vs UC San Diego Tritons W 80 - 70
2026-03-13 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 78 - 93

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Hughes Jr. L. Hughes Jr. G 30 31.4 17.3 3.0 1.0 1.5 0.3 1.4 13.5 8.2 167 7.6 17.0 41.6 39.1 85.8 0.33 57.6 53.0
J. Davis J. Davis G 31 33.4 16.2 4.7 7.3 1.1 0.3 4.7 12.4 12.5 16 0.7 1.7 47.0 13.3 69.2 0.36 53.3 47.5
J. O'Garro J. O'Garro G 31 33.3 14.3 8.8 2.7 1.0 0.7 2.4 11.9 13.3 13 0.6 0.9 47.2 30.4 60.8 0.14 53.6 51.8
M. Fofana M. Fofana F 31 29.3 11.2 7.9 1.6 1.2 0.8 1.1 7.1 14.4 45 1.9 3.6 62.9 20.0 58.8 0.22 63.8 63.1
James Evans Jr. James Evans Jr. G 31 15.3 5.9 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.8 5.7 3.4 33 1.4 4.8 36.5 32.9 58.1 0.16 46.2 44.1
Davius Loury Davius Loury F 30 16.7 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.8 4.8 2.9 -4 -0.2 -0.5 33.6 29.9 60.0 -0.13 44.5 42.7
G. Lewis G. Lewis F 29 9.7 4.0 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.6 4.1 -2 -0.1 -0.6 68.0 0 40.6 -0.19 64.5 68.0
J. Brinson J. Brinson G 30 17.9 3.5 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.9 5.0 -15 -0.7 -2.0 37.5 36.2 85.0 -0.69 53.7 49.4
A. Szymczyk A. Szymczyk C 23 8.3 3.1 3.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.0 -24 -1.1 -6.5 54.2 28.6 58.1 -0.69 58.4 56.2
Jai Chisolm Jai Chisolm G 31 8.7 3.0 1.5 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.4 3.4 1.6 -2 -0.1 -0.6 36.2 19.0 60.0 -0.62 43.0 41.9
R. Thibiant R. Thibiant - 8 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 -0.6 2 0.2 10.4 27.3 14.3 0 0.03 31.8 31.8
G. Gazarian G. Gazarian - 9 3.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.9 -0.9 -2 -0.2 -9.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.08 17.4 0.0
Q. Webb Q. Webb G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. Barrio J. Barrio - 5 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -1 -0.2 -16.4 0.0 0 0 0.05 0.0 0.0
J. Barbee J. Barbee G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Max Rehl Max Rehl G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Omer Dahan Omer Dahan G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG