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Cal St. Fullerton

Season: 2026 2022 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Cal St. Fullerton
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#231) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1036 (#301) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 994 (#503) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +20.7 (#119) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.997 (#121) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.6 More → 0.752 (#254) AdjNet +9.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.4 More → 0.752 (#252) AdjNet +9.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 108.5 | AdjD 89.6 More → 0.847 (#146) AdjO 108.5 | AdjD 89.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 86.0 | AdjD 75.6 More → 0.721 (#85) AdjO 86.0 | AdjD 75.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.814 (#85) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.758 (#125) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 991 (#373) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-17 vs Redlands W 93 - 78

2022 Roster

No roster data available for this season.