Cal St. East Bay
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 947 (#416) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 896 (#438) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 911 (#604) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#181) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.5 (#538) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.173 (#501) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.229 (#355) | NetEff -8.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.364 (#453) | AdjNet -4.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.365 (#455) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.403 (#466) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.276 (#623) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.269 (#548) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.266 (#558) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 888 (#388) | RD 94 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Central Wash. | L | 51 - 58 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Menlo | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Chaminade | W | 80 - 63 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | San Fran. St. | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | San Fran. St. | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | CSU Bakersfield | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Cal State LA | L | 63 - 93 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | CSUSB | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 68 - 93 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | UC Merced | W | 90 - 89 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Stanislaus St. | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 74 - 52 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | CSUSB | W | 76 - 71 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Cal State LA | L | 57 - 101 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 76 - 93 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eldredge | - | 20 | 25.2 | 10.7 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 9.0 | 8.0 | -34 | -1.5 | -6.4 | 43.3 | 11.8 | 69.6 | 0.88 | 49.6 | 43.9 |
| Aloha Akaka | - | 20 | 23.5 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 9.9 | 4.9 | -100 | -4.5 | -23.2 | 43.7 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 3.24 | 48.5 | 45.7 |
| Sierra Morris | - | 20 | 15.0 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 5.2 | -28 | -1.2 | -9.8 | 53.2 | 0.0 | 73.5 | 1.78 | 57.3 | 53.2 |
| Lucca Lowenberg | - | 19 | 25.8 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 7.8 | 3.7 | -37 | -1.8 | -9.0 | 34.5 | 34.9 | 88.9 | -2.46 | 52.2 | 47.0 |
| Hailey Estrada | - | 20 | 27.1 | 8.2 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 8.2 | 4.5 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 40.0 | 20.0 | 65.1 | 1.39 | 44.9 | 41.5 |
| Lailah Carey | - | 20 | 23.1 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 2.6 | -97 | -4.4 | -20.3 | 32.3 | 17.4 | 51.2 | -1.42 | 37.0 | 34.7 |
| Meredith Gilbertson | - | 20 | 24.6 | 5.5 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 13.1 | -66 | -3.0 | -15.1 | 45.7 | 0.0 | 66.1 | -1.59 | 52.5 | 45.7 |
| Krista Sheaffer | - | 19 | 12.0 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 4.7 | -69 | -3.1 | -21.0 | 37.7 | 7.1 | 85.7 | -3.05 | 48.4 | 38.5 |
| Nivea Campbell | - | 19 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 1.9 | -92 | -4.4 | -46.2 | 38.3 | 0 | 60.0 | -1.49 | 43.7 | 38.3 |
| Mia Vaasili | - | 17 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | -53 | -2.8 | -50.0 | 31.0 | 23.8 | 83.3 | -2.2 | 48.1 | 39.7 |
| Monroe Anderson | - | 6 | 7.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | -22 | -4.4 | -88.4 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 2.29 | 30.9 | 32.1 |
| Sanaa Dennis-Burch | - | 15 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | -74 | -4.6 | -65.2 | 17.4 | 0 | 22.2 | -1.15 | 18.5 | 17.4 |
| Fernanda Alexandre | - | 15 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.7 | -35 | -2.2 | -73.0 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.27 | 16.9 | 12.5 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG